Fifa International · resolved market
Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11e346c9b17350ad9da3b662e8eb5c99c453a5717093b47ae6e43833f42b459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 15,915$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.35 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 67c | 12,689$8,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.73 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 10,587$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 5,734$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.69 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 5,003$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.29 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 57c | 4,886$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.87 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 47c | 4,247$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.65 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 67c | 3,115$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 38c | 2,203$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.4 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 39c | 1,985$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.72 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 29c | 1,496$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.82 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 15c | 1,168$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.53 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.27 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 27c | 1,059$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.29 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,016$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.68 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 49c | 1,007$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.41 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 41c | 880.19$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 50c | 757.1$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.27 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 40c | 590$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 537.61$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.36 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 48c | 517$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 415$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked No | 74c | 399.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.9 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 28c | 350$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Yes | 66c | 309.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Yes | 62c | 272.34$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 74c | 253.51$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 59c | 186.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…7d44backed No | 30c | 173.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 65c | 161.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 71c | 141.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 38c | 136.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 124.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 34c | 124$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked No | 9c | 117.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54c1…021cbacked Yes | 59c | 113.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked No | 76c | 93.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed No | 35c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 80.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 74.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 275 | 38.5%106 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 37c | 67.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed No | 56c | 64.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd014…c792backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea67…ceebbacked Yes | 76c | 54.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…2a1dbacked Yes | 55c | 52.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 35c | 44.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…5863backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 39c | 35.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 76c | 31.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed Yes | 65c | 30.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…7c57backed Yes | 64c | 29.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…eac8backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…3c9cbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Yes | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…0a18backed No | 75c | 20.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…b3e2backed No | 55c | 19.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…31e5backed Yes | 55c | 18.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…0838backed Yes | 66c | 16.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw?this page
- Will El Salvador win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.