TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5e0…2a1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Asian League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Libema Open, Qualification: James McCabe vs Alexander Maarten Jongbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.38
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Storm Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$73.46
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.74
Libema Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Robin Montgomerybacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$28.17
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.55
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$47.08
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.29
Prostejov: Viktor Durasovic vs Norbert Gombosbacked Viktor Durasovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.87
Heilbronn: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Alexander Maarten Jongbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.57
Prostejov: Tristan Boyer vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayobacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$23.72
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$12.52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marin Cilic vs Martin Landalucebacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$22.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristian Garin vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$23.44
Santos: Hernan Casanova vs Nicolas Kickerbacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.09
Santos: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.75
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.51
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.17
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.74
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.85
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.33
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.53
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.47
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$22.93
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.98
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+67.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.88
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.33
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.14
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.34
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$32.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Portland Firebacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.