Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f6c7cf3e8d1aaf90593432e6ab79851272682fb9f13ad254283434572e7ada8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 25,054$6,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,756.43 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 58c | 21,845$12,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,210.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 25c | 15,936$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.99 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 10,727$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.82 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 59c | 8,022$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 5,378$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.01 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 29c | 4,500$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 4,426$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.23 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 55c | 3,847$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.42 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 3,616$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.63 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 3,340$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.31 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 38c | 2,898$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.33 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 2,143$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.07 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 31c | 1,652$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.67 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 29c | 1,621$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 31c | 1,355$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.94 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 1,219$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.04 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 72c | 1,173$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.87 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,149$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.99 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 70c | 996$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.2 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 58c | 985.91$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.08 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked No | 72c | 941.92$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 54c | 835.32$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.55 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 30c | 823.52$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.05 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 35c | 660.66$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.53 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 60c | 554.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 69c | 550.51$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 64c | 529.64$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 70c | 518$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 17c | 490.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 481.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 70c | 432.13$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 431.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.62 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked No | 42c | 418.68$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 70c | 399.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Yes | 31c | 367.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 68c | 364$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.52 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 70c | 360$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 41c | 344.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 75c | 324$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 43c | 271$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed No | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 39c | 243.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed No | 42c | 233.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa2…3620backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 31c | 219.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 40c | 219.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 30c | 218.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 60c | 196.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 187.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 182.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 72c | 167.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 40c | 162.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 72c | 161.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 142.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 62c | 136.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 74c | 119.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745d…e109backed Yes | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 46c | 114$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 55c | 113$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 109$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 105.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 57c | 101.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 47c | 88.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 17c | 85.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 70c | 85.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 18c | 81.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 22c | 79.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 70c | 79.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 53c | 75.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 71c | 69.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 26c | 68.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b77…e3c2backed Yes | 31c | 62.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 56.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 63c | 54.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 71c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 40c | 52.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 29c | 51.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…ab29backed Yes | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.