Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1bf090b53296d9fca2f05641560a6680ab59849c35227e33dc9a9db06e222ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 24c | 98,442$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 30,914$23,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560.8 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 27,971$21,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,829.18 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 20,000$15,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 11,240$8,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.89 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 10,045$7,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.77 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 7,925$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.72 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 24c | 6,075$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 4,077$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.45 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,585$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ae…38e9backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 1,849$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.49 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 77c | 1,587$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.66 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 1,421$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.05 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 76c | 1,335$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 75c | 1,257$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 1,167$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,058$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 999.96$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 5c | 922.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 742.31$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 23c | 710.65$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 708$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 667.23$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.39 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 24c | 508.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 423.45$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 76c | 358.76$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…9419backed Yes | 3c | 348$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 75c | 336.67$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Yes | 26c | 326.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 75c | 307.19$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Yes | 8c | 281.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 272.91$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 76c | 208.43$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 24c | 207.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 27c | 207.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 75c | 166.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 17c | 136.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 128.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…de5ebacked No | 75c | 124.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 76c | 113.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 108.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 23c | 102.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 102.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 101.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…4930backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 75c | 82.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 78.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 23c | 78.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 77.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 68.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 66.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf435…a35abacked Yes | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 56.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 21c | 48.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 76c | 46.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 77c | 40.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 80c | 40.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…a11cbacked No | 79c | 32.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…22a7backed No | 75c | 31.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 30.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 77c | 28.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…78f7backed No | 79c | 27.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 77c | 26.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 74c | 22.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…d156backed No | 75c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 78c | 17.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked No | 75c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc35c…5994backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.