TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea87…c5a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
ITF Evansville: Caroline Dolehide vs Yeonwoo Kubacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$12.51
ITF Metzingen: Patrick Zahraj vs Raphael Perotbacked Raphael Perot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$10.33
Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Taggerbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
ITF Gentofte: Linea Bajraliu vs Lucia Cortez Llorcabacked Linea Bajraliu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$11.06
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$6.9
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.86
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Remy Bertolabacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
ITF Denia: Pedro Rodenas vs Reda Bennanibacked Reda Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Segovia: Luka Pavlovic vs Keegan Smithbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$9.18
ITF Metzingen: Adrian Oetzbach vs Raphael Perotbacked Raphael Perot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$8.59
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Winnipeg: Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekhbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$13.17
ITF Champaign: Eli Stephenson vs Evan Bynoebacked Evan Bynoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$8.86
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$12.25
ITF Metzingen: Max Houkes vs Patrick Zahrajbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+110%+$12.05
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
ITF Ollersbach: Andrej Martin vs Marat Sharipovbacked Marat Sharipov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$5.48
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$6.34
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.44
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.96
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.89
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.67
Will Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58%+$27.98
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.51
Will Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.18
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$39.09
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$78.93
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.52
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$44.12
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.