Tennis · resolved market
ITF Metzingen: Patrick Zahraj vs Raphael Perot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1e466abe15a7ef2761376b46e01c6c71c72396591dc8d6c39e09e827da186bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Perotof Patrick Zahraj, Raphael Perot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patrick Zahraj | 24c | 2,601$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Patrick Zahraj | 41c | 1,168$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Patrick Zahraj | 3c | 1,104$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Raphael Perot | 56c | 800.99$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Patrick Zahraj | 40c | 753$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.61 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Patrick Zahraj | 45c | 733.16$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Raphael Perot | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Patrick Zahraj | 41c | 476.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Raphael Perot | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Raphael Perot | 63c | 254.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Patrick Zahraj | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Patrick Zahraj | 54c | 203.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Raphael Perot | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…4f6abacked Raphael Perot | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Patrick Zahraj | 29c | 75.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Patrick Zahraj | 70c | 60.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Patrick Zahraj | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Raphael Perot | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Patrick Zahraj | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Raphael Perot | 68c | 47.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Patrick Zahraj | 46c | 47.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Raphael Perot | 37c | 47.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Patrick Zahraj | 37c | 42.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…1c0bbacked Patrick Zahraj | 51c | 36.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Patrick Zahraj | 36c | 36.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Raphael Perot | 72c | 34.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…1fccbacked Patrick Zahraj | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Raphael Perot | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Patrick Zahraj | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Raphael Perot | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Patrick Zahraj | 41c | 29.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Patrick Zahraj | 50c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Raphael Perot | 58c | 28.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Raphael Perot | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…7137backed Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 26.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Raphael Perot | 62c | 25.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Raphael Perot | 65c | 24.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…3b16backed Patrick Zahraj | 50c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Raphael Perot | 51c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Patrick Zahraj | 53c | 19.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Raphael Perot | 78c | 17.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.