Tennis · resolved market
ITF Denia: Pedro Rodenas vs Reda Bennani
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e58695f0abd4d6729c0faba3e11299689dfe002ac414f845896c5f185c69fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pedro Rodenasof Pedro Rodenas, Reda Bennani
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Reda Bennani | 49c | 1,205$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.02 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Pedro Rodenas | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Reda Bennani | 52c | 289.15$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Pedro Rodenas | 42c | 271.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pedro Rodenas | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Reda Bennani | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Pedro Rodenas | 38c | 139.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…bf96backed Pedro Rodenas | 33c | 138.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Pedro Rodenas | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Reda Bennani | 67c | 128.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Pedro Rodenas | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Pedro Rodenas | 38c | 113.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Reda Bennani | 22c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Reda Bennani | 29c | 101.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…079ebacked Reda Bennani | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Pedro Rodenas | 44c | 77.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Reda Bennani | 68c | 71.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pedro Rodenas | 68c | 48.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Reda Bennani | 34c | 39.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Pedro Rodenas | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Pedro Rodenas | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Pedro Rodenas | 32c | 31.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Pedro Rodenas | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Pedro Rodenas | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Reda Bennani | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Reda Bennani | 45c | 23.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Pedro Rodenas | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Pedro Rodenas | 70c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.