Tennis · resolved market
ITF Champaign: Eli Stephenson vs Evan Bynoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fdfaa990a310274df53a1e280bd9a111bbbd28634401f52bc3ab8fd982e12b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evan Bynoeof Eli Stephenson, Evan Bynoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Evan Bynoe | 51c | 2,239$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.2 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Evan Bynoe | 38c | 2,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.79 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Evan Bynoe | 43c | 1,281$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.06 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Eli Stephenson | 37c | 1,244$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.39 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Eli Stephenson | 67c | 881.1$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.9 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Eli Stephenson | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Eli Stephenson | 30c | 841.59$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.14 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Eli Stephenson | 34c | 820.97$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.65 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Evan Bynoe | 59c | 485.74$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.29 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Eli Stephenson | 66c | 453.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eli Stephenson | 59c | 414.28$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.94 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Evan Bynoe | 37c | 406.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.19 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eli Stephenson | 9c | 330.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Evan Bynoe | 49c | 318.13$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Eli Stephenson | 39c | 258.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eli Stephenson | 36c | 245.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Evan Bynoe | 45c | 177.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Eli Stephenson | 72c | 139.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Evan Bynoe | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Eli Stephenson | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Eli Stephenson | 55c | 95.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Eli Stephenson | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Eli Stephenson | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Eli Stephenson | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Eli Stephenson | 59c | 84.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Eli Stephenson | 45c | 81.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Evan Bynoe | 40c | 80.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Evan Bynoe | 42c | 80.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Eli Stephenson | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Eli Stephenson | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Eli Stephenson | 34c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Evan Bynoe | 28c | 58.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…2a3abacked Evan Bynoe | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 164 | 37.8%62 W · 102 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Evan Bynoe | 56c | 54.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Eli Stephenson | 32c | 51.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Eli Stephenson | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Eli Stephenson | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Eli Stephenson | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Evan Bynoe | 27c | 40.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eli Stephenson | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evan Bynoe | 60c | 36.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Eli Stephenson | 76c | 36.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Eli Stephenson | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Evan Bynoe | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Eli Stephenson | 50c | 24.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Eli Stephenson | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Evan Bynoe | 57c | 20.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Evan Bynoe | 55c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.