Tennis · resolved market
ITF Metzingen: Max Houkes vs Patrick Zahraj
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e37878f07cee1e9121ba865b8d70ae64f4cbdede5e1bb2585e58c8dd588ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patrick Zahrajof Max Houkes, Patrick Zahraj
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patrick Zahraj | 35c | 3,043$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…6f67backed Patrick Zahraj | 22c | 924.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Patrick Zahraj | 18c | 581.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.25 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Patrick Zahraj | 26c | 495.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.83 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Max Houkes | 36c | 326.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Max Houkes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Max Houkes | 78c | 233.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Patrick Zahraj | 16c | 231.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.84 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Max Houkes | 78c | 224$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Max Houkes | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Max Houkes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Max Houkes | 36c | 180$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Max Houkes | 36c | 180$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Max Houkes | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Patrick Zahraj | 79c | 131$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Max Houkes | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Patrick Zahraj | 17c | 117.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Houkes | 70c | 101.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Patrick Zahraj | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Max Houkes | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Patrick Zahraj | 17c | 70.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Patrick Zahraj | 32c | 61.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Max Houkes | 79c | 60.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Max Houkes | 43c | 55.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Patrick Zahraj | 59c | 51.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Max Houkes | 77c | 44.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Max Houkes | 40c | 43.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Patrick Zahraj | 62c | 31.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Max Houkes | 55c | 25.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Patrick Zahraj | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Max Houkes | 73c | 20.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Patrick Zahraj | 54c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Max Houkes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Max Houkes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Max Houkes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Max Houkes | 62c | 19.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Max Houkes | 71c | 16.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.