Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x493e55161a52f24c0be8f5094893669039e04d11e11285a066ce64b6610e7afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,221,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,315,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,221,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 696 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 67c | 184,994$123,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,945.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 86,950$29,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,088.49 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 52,607$17,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,161.33 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 23c | 48,353$11,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,343.95 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 65c | 46,324$30,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,110.37 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 33c | 35,506$11,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,924.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Yes | 33c | 33,801$11,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,646.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 51c | 32,352$16,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,972.13 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 35c | 28,571$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,571.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes | 36c | 28,435$10,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,190.41 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 54c | 24,576$13,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,290.63 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 79c | 23,396$18,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,875.71 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 66c | 21,300$14,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,057.95 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…99ffbacked No | 0c | 18,230$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 34c | 17,705$6,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,685.92 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 41c | 17,116$7,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,034.8 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 17c | 15,111$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.11 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 67c | 15,035$10,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,072.36 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 70c | 15,000$10,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,449.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 33c | 14,388$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,639.96 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 9c | 14,063$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.91 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 0c | 13,711$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 66c | 13,428$8,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,862.41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 13,225$7,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,359.16 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked No | 57c | 13,200$7,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,512 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 36c | 11,503$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.2 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 42c | 9,197$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.05 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 41c | 8,558$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017.39 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Yes | 58c | 8,063$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 34c | 7,743$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.63 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 62c | 7,690$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.77 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 58c | 6,894$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.46 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 6,515$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.43 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 6,263$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.91 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Yes | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.77 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.35 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 67c | 5,333$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.11 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 12c | 5,329$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.1 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 22c | 5,244$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 35c | 5,165$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.4 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 11c | 4,816$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.74 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 68c | 4,552$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.58 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 67c | 4,420$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.31 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 67c | 4,151$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.13 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,936$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.42 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 61c | 3,780$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.59 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 33c | 3,636$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed No | 67c | 3,400$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 3,383$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.59 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 33c | 3,152$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…338ebacked Yes | 34c | 3,138$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 35c | 3,083$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.86 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Yes | 33c | 3,082$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.2 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 2,954$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.97 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 67c | 2,934$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.49 | 103 | 78.6%81 W · 22 L | +22.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…fcb5backed Yes | 35c | 2,823$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 34c | 2,804$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.92 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 2,602$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.33 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…03b7backed Yes | 35c | 2,548$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +132%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 8c | 2,521$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.78 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd0…f477backed Yes | 34c | 2,438$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 68c | 2,427$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…c244backed Yes | 34c | 2,306$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 2,272$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.52 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…8be2backed Yes | 34c | 2,266$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 33c | 2,222$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.67 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 58c | 2,201$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.01 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 44c | 2,142$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.39 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c7backed No | 67c | 2,136$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f40…1efbbacked No | 67c | 2,124$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Yes | 70c | 2,100$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 33c | 2,054$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.28 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 2,046$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.36 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 67c | 2,027$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 65c | 1,882$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635e…0438backed Yes | 33c | 1,840$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 67c | 1,739$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.04 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,678$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.09 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,650$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 48c | 1,645$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.36 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 69c | 1,638$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 34c | 1,588$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.24 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…0e99backed No | 65c | 1,587$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 67c | 1,586$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.6 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 65c | 1,548$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked No | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.13 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.