Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce37fb7212268a73850f98f6a49a1a0b32d03d0cc9ad9ecff7245eebeb0bf44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 29c | 131,180$37,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 56,848$40,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,172.6 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 36,534$10,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,181.63 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 30,854$23,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,769.75 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 72c | 22,212$15,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219.4 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 28c | 19,868$5,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,622.35 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,767$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 71c | 19,188$13,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.51 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 19,062$13,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.29 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 68c | 18,571$12,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,883.99 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 14,964$10,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.78 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 14,778$11,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 10,997$7,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.16 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 27c | 10,889$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 10,420$7,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.31 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 28c | 10,389$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 10,158$7,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 73c | 8,132$5,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.3 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 7,738$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.68 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…52aebacked Yes | 15c | 7,254$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 73c | 7,232$5,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.2 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 73c | 6,241$4,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.18 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 6,000$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.98 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 5,452$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.96 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 33c | 5,258$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.08 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 4,922$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.89 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked Yes | 27c | 4,884$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 4,722$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.26 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 27c | 4,613$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked No | 72c | 4,368$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 73c | 4,200$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 3,914$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.59 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 26c | 3,583$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.22 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 76c | 3,462$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.45 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes | 40c | 2,988$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 2,600$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.96 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 70c | 2,553$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 2,523$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.27 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 2,424$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.1 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 73c | 2,381$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 69c | 2,153$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.26 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 72c | 2,120$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.39 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,041$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.76 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 2,022$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.52 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 1,972$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.88 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 1,904$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.28 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 72c | 1,901$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.2 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…08b2backed Yes | 28c | 1,598$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 68c | 1,585$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 1,453$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.94 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,430$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…8478backed No | 75c | 1,413$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 73c | 1,380$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.67 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…9598backed No | 74c | 1,365$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 27c | 1,284$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 1,257$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.07 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 71c | 1,252$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.98 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,246$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Yes | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…9306backed No | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…04e3backed No | 73c | 1,098$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 28c | 1,043$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 27c | 1,037$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed No | 68c | 1,025$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb539…cb26backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 4c | 999.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…79c6backed Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 29c | 827.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…fe1dbacked No | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 40c | 769.32$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.43 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 33c | 757.11$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.09 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 17c | 703.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 73c | 699.97$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 28c | 693.21$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 75c | 669.33$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…6649backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…adbbbacked No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 72c | 579.04$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.