Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74405cf992021e883a98fe10f7a312911b9101b58975c67d17b0d84ab91d2ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,390,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,375,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,390,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed No | 73c | 941,561$683,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257,936.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 27c | 338,922$92,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,297.9 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 27c | 139,749$37,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,731.7 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 27c | 100,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 24c | 90,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,599.96 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 57,962$16,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,111.49 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Yes | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 76c | 47,368$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,368.42 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 27c | 36,000$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,719.99 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 26,405$19,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,341.13 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 27c | 25,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 24,423$6,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,798.42 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 23,759$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,793.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed Yes | 23c | 23,732$5,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,458.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Yes | 28c | 21,529$6,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,027.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 16,654$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.43 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 15,884$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 28c | 15,000$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 74c | 13,514$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.51 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 76c | 12,326$9,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 29c | 11,268$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 26c | 11,102$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.15 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 10,512$7,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.42 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 10,356$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.67 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 29c | 6,916$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.58 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 65c | 6,207$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.39 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 33c | 5,908$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.19 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 73c | 5,762$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.86 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 28c | 5,357$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 28c | 5,313$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.27 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 25c | 5,200$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 27c | 5,168$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.44 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 29c | 4,649$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.69 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Yes | 27c | 4,435$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.19 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 4,053$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.54 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 27c | 3,300$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 36c | 3,081$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked No | 74c | 2,702$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab2…a2b7backed Yes | 30c | 2,607$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 64c | 2,600$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 2,546$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.82 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72e…d1fcbacked Yes | 24c | 2,274$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Yes | 28c | 2,253$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.88 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,240$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 2,053$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.08 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,860$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…03ddbacked No | 74c | 1,680$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 35c | 1,672$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.31 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 1c | 1,656$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,648$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 1,519$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.75 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed No | 69c | 1,474$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…ef3abacked Yes | 27c | 1,473$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 77c | 1,338$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.23 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 28c | 1,296$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.17 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 1,254$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.58 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 1,174$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.39 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Yes | 28c | 1,126$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.62 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 27c | 1,119$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.22 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 67c | 1,086$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.49 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 23c | 1,079$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…957ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,029$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed No | 76c | 1,025$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 34c | 999.97$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 64c | 943.8$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.77 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 69c | 939.77$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.73 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 28c | 939.29$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 5c | 928.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 925$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 925$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 28c | 849.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.17 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 23c | 841.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 12c | 802.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 5c | 800$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…0834backed Yes | 36c | 722.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Yes | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked No | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 27c | 656.06$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…e7b3backed Yes | 27c | 644.44$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Yes | 28c | 621.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.