TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,390,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,375,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,390,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed No73c941,561$683,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257,936.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes27c338,922$92,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,297.913353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes27c139,749$37,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,731.713748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes27c100,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes24c90,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,599.963234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c57,962$16,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,111.492,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Yes28c50,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No76c47,368$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,368.425352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes27c36,000$9,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,719.9916651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c26,405$19,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,341.1340655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes27c25,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,750850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes28c24,423$6,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,798.4288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c23,759$4,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,793.086,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3744…c141backed Yes23c23,732$5,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,458.4240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes28c21,529$6,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,027.994546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes26c16,654$4,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,392.432,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c15,884$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.64,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes28c15,000$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1502356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No74c13,514$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.5111349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No76c12,326$9,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.231136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes29c11,268$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,29235941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes26c11,102$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.159849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No74c10,512$7,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.4256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes26c10,356$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.6776842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes29c6,916$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.5812949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No65c6,207$4,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.393243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes33c5,908$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.1924146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No73c5,762$4,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.863855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes28c5,357$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes28c5,313$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.2740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes25c5,200$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes27c5,168$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.444845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes29c4,649$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.6955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Yes27c4,435$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.198259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes33c4,053$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.5419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes29c4,000$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17625544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes27c3,300$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89117745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes36c3,081$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked No74c2,702$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.522157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab2…a2b7backed Yes30c2,607$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7821741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No64c2,600$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.983745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes16c2,546$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.8274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf72e…d1fcbacked Yes24c2,274$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes28c2,253$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.885942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes27c2,240$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c2,053$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.081,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes28c2,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.996439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes22c1,860$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006142.6%26 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb60…03ddbacked No74c1,680$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.71957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes35c1,672$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.3122049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes1c1,656$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.47129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Yes28c1,648$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.441553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006527.7%18 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c1,519$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed No69c1,474$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4574959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2de…ef3abacked Yes27c1,473$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No68c1,400$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44815255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No77c1,338$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.231090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes28c1,296$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.1722146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No76c1,254$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5859247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes29c1,174$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.391,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Yes28c1,126$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.625358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes27c1,119$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.221,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No67c1,086$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.496758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes23c1,079$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c6d…957ebacked Yes30c1,029$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed No76c1,025$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.08540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.996743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No64c943.8$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.779254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No69c939.77$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.7341850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes28c939.29$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2631435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Yes5c928.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.423429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes28c925$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6796443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes28c925$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.671,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes28c849.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1733551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes23c841.61$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes12c802.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007356.2%41 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes5c800$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb3…0834backed Yes36c722.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked Yes27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1894055%22 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked No73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.932470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes27c656.06$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804727.7%13 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…e7b3backed Yes27c644.44$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf8…4d13backed Yes28c621.8$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.341020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.