TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,085,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,665,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,085,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 567 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed Yes45c2,736,634$1,232,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232,604.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No55c380,897$209,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,301.8313353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No55c326,890$178,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148,600.6913748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No56c313,700$174,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139,1831947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed No54c231,692$125,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,578.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes44c186,245$81,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,26519239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No56c130,222$73,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,008.3212847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No56c125,000$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c109,865$61,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,452.442,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No55c109,091$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,090.913540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c101,579$58,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,8326,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes40c80,000$32,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,098.953243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No55c76,886$42,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,598.771258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c73,329$40,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,822.542,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed No55c65,000$35,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,149.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed No55c60,000$32,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No54c58,961$32,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,876.227750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No55c58,929$32,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,662.949141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No55c58,538$32,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,323.1618453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes38c56,516$21,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,505.813053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No56c50,614$28,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,270.167544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No55c47,249$25,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,261.917653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No55c46,052$25,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,723.62642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No54c43,500$23,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0108453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No55c43,089$23,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,200.695455.6%30 W · 24 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No56c32,480$18,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,291.25547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No54c32,318$17,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,866.283759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No54c32,301$17,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,716.814052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c31,158$18,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,232.221,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Yes42c31,127$13,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,073.532040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No56c30,362$17,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,241.364652.2%24 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No55c27,949$15,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,577.193148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No54c27,628$14,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,708.8816848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No54c26,700$14,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,2821145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No56c22,924$12,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,086.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No55c21,490$11,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,645.8111149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No55c20,310$11,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,229.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed No55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No54c17,553$9,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,074.2815949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes37c17,274$6,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,466.9426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No56c16,653$9,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,318.542846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No57c15,787$8,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,793.481942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No53c15,323$8,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,262.2356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No55c15,000$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…f06dbacked No58c14,400$8,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,048520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No56c14,159$7,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,229.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No56c14,156$7,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,228.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No56c13,980$7,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,151.21145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No55c13,118$7,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,909.34580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No55c12,816$7,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,806.057035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No39c10,939$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,635.971,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6005242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7006550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…ae61backed No54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick30cpaid+99%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No54c9,040$4,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,158.43046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes39c7,538$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9402245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No54c7,500$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4505560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes46c7,391$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40011349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No55c7,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.972152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No56c6,960$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.41952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No56c6,890$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.31040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No62c6,695$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.9477342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No61c6,500$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5406448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No61c6,398$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.3216050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes36c6,379$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.9225225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed No60c6,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4003240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,34010951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No61c5,800$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,26213151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No54c5,606$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.752934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No59c5,555$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.3324146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No59c5,465$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.5235941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No57c5,039$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x717f…769dbacked Yes40c4,927$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b4…230bbacked Yes40c4,923$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4746…9defbacked No61c4,890$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x653c…ac3cbacked No61c4,854$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e19…ac9ebacked No60c4,591$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c4,000$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No55c4,000$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7927959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes50c3,972$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.2310053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes43c3,953$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7005442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes32c3,826$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.357951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c3,702$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.6759847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No55c3,539$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.358259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No60c3,500$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No56c3,348$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.215246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed No63c3,300$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No60c3,200$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No59c3,061$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.461560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked No56c3,000$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3101258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1537…c480backed No63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3806660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Yes47c2,970$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.57540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c2,891$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33049544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No59c2,612$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.3991435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No42c2,403$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.8753344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No60c2,400$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.