TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$418,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$547,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes29c122,621$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,621.4711445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No72c92,063$66,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,406.2513748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ee…4bfabacked No74c32,892$24,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,340.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c25,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,00038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c19,414$13,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,784.232,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c19,221$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,107.822,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes27c13,307$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,714.4140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c10,270$3,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,948.196,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2005242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c8,820$6,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,350.6656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes27c8,738$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,378.749849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c8,074$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,833.876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c6,002$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.264,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c4,137$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.631,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No20c3,718$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.5853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes26c3,365$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.3835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No73c3,300$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.985164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes50c2,741$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.447851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No46c1,994$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.041,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c1,931$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.8355751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes26c1,612$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.2488635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No71c1,587$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.779254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c1,573$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.4484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No72c1,388$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3612949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked No11c1,269$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.571735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes77c1,162$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.654450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.115442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c1,109$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.1459445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No50c1,010$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50526548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes29c996.55$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick37cpaid+100.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes26c992.96$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.7922049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes72c974.05$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.27050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No55c970.49$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.7142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c800$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.663745.9%17 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+58.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No73c688.97$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.958259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes36c661.43$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes52c626.12$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.2918748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No20c603.54$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.154040%16 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7802…fa6bbacked No73c541.91$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.59366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes38c530$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.65238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes28c524.89$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.922948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No63c505.61$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.533145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes29c501.03$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7310144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c498.28$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c479.59$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes27c434$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No73c411.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.096743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c400$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes37c395.61$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.232025%5 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bd…13bdbacked Yes77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes26c384.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8926247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.378736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3717234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3719426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c368.73$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5257150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8312233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No68c314.31$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.494165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.136462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes45c297.83$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.837736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes17c294.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1210940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes33c284.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3512136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No74c280$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.28666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No74c272.93$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.974369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7411755.6%65 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No73c245.04$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.882528%7 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No5c238.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1626319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No58c230.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.098052.5%42 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes27c227.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.266142.6%26 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes17c205.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.234136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…c5e1backed Yes38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes36c178.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.572755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+39.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef26…a6c6backed Yes45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+211.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No23c160.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.826648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ee…597fbacked No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Yes73c157.28$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c151.51$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.591,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No67c149.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.778959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No23c149.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4713250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.153545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No36c141.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0215249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No34c140.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.18037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes39c139.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.951275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2f…cf58backed Yes37c134.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.981040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea87…c5a0backed Yes41c133.53$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Yes27c133.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.143669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…67f0backed Yes46c131.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.49850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes38c129$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7815749.7%78 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked No17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No26c115.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3622645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes30c113.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8139555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.115147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+92.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No74c108.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed No50c104.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.42742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.