TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No68c76,077$51,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,467.447753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes5c20,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes32c17,488$5,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,596.162,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes29c15,757$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,615.3288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes33c14,972$4,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.941,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No69c12,540$8,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,912.895242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No67c12,490$8,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.721136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes31c12,000$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.9825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No68c10,948$7,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.3213444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c10,553$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,356.092,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes32c8,549$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.7819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes32c8,121$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.5440655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed No67c6,620$4,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed No66c6,474$4,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.255145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes32c6,083$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.521,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes10c4,958$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.4926319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes33c3,648$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.533748.6%18 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes33c2,971$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.687851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes31c2,930$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.2624146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes33c2,729$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.8726444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes32c2,219$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9211828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes16c2,213$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No67c2,204$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.755751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes33c2,050$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67722049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes32c2,039$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.4884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6406439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6657…8e4fbacked Yes20c1,993$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.181145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes32c1,667$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.0115233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes32c1,558$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006142.6%26 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes19c1,429$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.164060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes12c1,296$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.111926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes32c1,190$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.535942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes9c1,115$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5892…8bf3backed Yes33c1,024$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e3e…88a4backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No68c899.96$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa71…8aa0backed Yes16c776$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed Yes14c740$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.63250%16 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No67c610$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.37648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Yes32c592.91$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.735848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No69c582.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7375850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes32c570$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2157833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes30c550$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16314949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes32c507$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2429250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15523258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4518352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes32c488$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1610765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes32c487.33$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9435941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…c5a0backed Yes7c464.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.521330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes32c449.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14633551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes22c449.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bd…65a9backed Yes6c436.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.211637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes33c435$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c429.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13349544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes13c420$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.62626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…3b52backed Yes15c416$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.97837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes35c410.94$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.220651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes29c408.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.464136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes32c400$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3314654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No68c380$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.65056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes17c375.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.732020%4 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed Yes32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa110…3053backed Yes33c363.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No69c345.27$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.034141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No72c341.32$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.384146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes32c335.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8736462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes12c323.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+72%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes17c321.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.174,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes33c320.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.851,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No68c316.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7916454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…3068backed Yes32c316.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3460%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003745.9%17 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+58.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes34c294.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2926247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…a7dbbacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Yes10c293.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.372944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d8a…6cbdbacked Yes32c281.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb5…72d7backed No79c253.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.621080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5910971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes12c211.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4432822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes33c210.06$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3212949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes18c208.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.545224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6211850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes16c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315125.5%13 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No73c196$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0716238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes32c192$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.443161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes26c188.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9222645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed No68c175$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.