Mls · resolved market
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dd721ef85e534b60e0a1ead8df7f3b943926cc02a20939a9a2ff31279a76887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 63c | 71,530$44,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,895.8 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 37c | 12,640$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,963.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 38c | 8,982$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.03 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 8,347$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,143.31 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 37c | 6,109$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.57 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 5,936$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.08 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 37c | 4,743$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 31c | 4,084$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.56 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.36 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 70c | 3,080$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.19 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 38c | 2,905$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.93 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes | 66c | 2,697$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 1,854$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 36c | 1,600$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 39c | 1,516$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.33 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 61c | 1,256$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.16 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 5c | 1,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 1,039$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.98 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 37c | 982.33$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.56 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes | 61c | 832.79$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 37c | 752.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.38 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 35c | 602$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.69 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 37c | 592$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 73c | 468.55$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 37c | 460$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 429.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.6 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 37c | 410$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked No | 37c | 397.05$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 61c | 383.24$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.78 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 351.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 39c | 320.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 37c | 296.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 25c | 277$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 59c | 242.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 61c | 207$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 205$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 56c | 199.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 37c | 156$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 37c | 156$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 153.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 146$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 37c | 139$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 139$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 63c | 136$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 78c | 134.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 37c | 132$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 64c | 130$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 69c | 128.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yes | 61c | 128$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 27c | 114.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 61c | 107$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 58c | 102.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 75c | 99.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 77c | 98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 29c | 97.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No | 38c | 95.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 54c | 89.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 80c | 89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 85.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 36c | 85.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 21c | 80.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 38c | 77.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 37c | 74.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 31c | 72.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.