Mls · resolved market
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ec8d5475f5aa311042d05a645fe8f5ab271e76a3c1cfb790b85929e4d7609e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204e…8d08backed No | 0c | 27,949$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 0cpaid | +9,900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 47c | 6,584$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.05 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 36c | 4,479$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.74 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 3,150$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 2,799$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.8 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 2,095$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.05 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes | 75c | 1,448$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 26c | 628.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.26 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 19c | 423.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 68c | 292.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 227.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.79 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 221$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 214.88$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 58c | 151.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 71c | 144.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 25c | 143.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 77c | 124.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 29c | 112.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 108.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 33c | 72.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 66c | 64.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 32c | 64.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 61.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 60.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 27c | 55.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 33c | 44.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 77c | 38.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…2d4bbacked Yes | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 30.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…952dbacked Yes | 78c | 21.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 75c | 18.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked Yes | 70c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Yes | 78c | 15.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.