TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes28c115,198$32,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,2506832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No72c87,071$62,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,379.7510948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No73c28,411$20,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,624.6157839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c12,999$9,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.063,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes26c8,587$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.6513844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c8,350$6,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.144,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c6,769$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.9719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c4,721$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c4,373$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.9461032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No73c3,039$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.938160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes18c2,553$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.721,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No73c2,465$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.545950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes27c2,374$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No73c2,280$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes4c2,149$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9710938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes28c1,885$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.193138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc899…e1fdbacked No74c1,870$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.31887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick73cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c1,699$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.631,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…c5dcbacked Yes28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes30c1,331$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c1,200$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8265356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3243046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes16c1,189$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.355940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf58…1517backed Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c1,075$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7784144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…78a9backed Yes5c1,010$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2808246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No73c964.04$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2922246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c948$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5758548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes26c936.08$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3812020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c859.48$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.461,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes26c769.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.997927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes27c750$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No73c730$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.14456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed Yes3c650$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.261435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes27c630$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.13630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked No73c604.75$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682763%17 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes28c555.96$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.674753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f88…cd62backed Yes28c538.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+120.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes3c499.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes6c484.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.085521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c475.51$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3915151%77 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes28c474$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.727635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c399.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11219255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c366.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0833734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes25c350$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.54852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes27c333.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c310.91$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2675751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No73c306.85$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.859766%64 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes27c303.7$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No73c302.14$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5831952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No75c277.55$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.395570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c267.63$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4563553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes26c265.38$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes5c252.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.611225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c251.75$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes7c233.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9369350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Yes28c232.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2c…0b53backed Yes28c224.93$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No68c224$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3215442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes25c220$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Yes6c212.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.731050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c204.07$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5462744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5423855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5448934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Yes13c196.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab5…25b0backed Yes27c186.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.27540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31d…68a0backed No76c183.53$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No71c178.56$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6620241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes27c177.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486338.1%24 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e2…e51dbacked Yes27c174.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes27c155.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+107%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Yes13c153$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb940…85bfbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes26c143.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.261,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes27c128.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.819634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No72c123.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.53565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.226853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed No73c115.27$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.121957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes26c112.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0210843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes11c111.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2816541.2%68 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.