TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$331,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes36c30,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked Yes38c18,544$7,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,046.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No64c17,480$11,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,332.592040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes36c12,718$4,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,578.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No65c12,060$7,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.543441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3f8…4682backed Yes15c9,167$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+173.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c8,922$5,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.282,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No75c7,520$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.631968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes38c7,046$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.0219840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes37c6,017$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.7922448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No63c6,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes36c5,942$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.151,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes17c5,113$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84423727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9003548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes36c4,893$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.441,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No63c3,968$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.256555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed No64c3,906$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.255955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No62c3,649$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.5314250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No64c3,536$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.6615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No62c3,200$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21611054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes24c3,198$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.6322553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes7c3,145$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.610938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf65f…4493backed No62c3,105$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Yes37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.993641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.982657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6444…672ebacked Yes39c2,800$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.993158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes37c2,539$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.0264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes6c2,488$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.711136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No62c2,400$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9129457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c2,387$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes9c2,377$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes37c2,011$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.0722753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes36c1,750$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No62c1,702$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.845750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes25c1,637$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.6683939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c1,589$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.854,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed No64c1,584$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes14c1,549$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2184240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes35c1,525$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.2511333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No62c1,400$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53210760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes14c1,357$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed Yes37c1,278$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45610558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes36c1,200$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.9919255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No80c1,115$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5892…8bf3backed Yes37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No68c1,063$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.586243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.044456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3807358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36048153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes10c999.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-80.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No80c987$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.49561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes36c970.74$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.473655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No62c920.18$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.6513051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes13c845.17$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.791,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No63c843.06$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9315051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30412159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30410257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked No62c792.64$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes38c790$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d64…ada1backed No65c756.78$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.87666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes35c743.62$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.277656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes24c698.35$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7215442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes39c696.74$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.267850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes37c684.85$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes37c680.64$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes14c671.43$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+122.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…cec1backed Yes2c668.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes9c644.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5837829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22810759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2289056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes6c599.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36287.1%2 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes7c574$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.535940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No62c565.61$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No63c544.98$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.642161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes4c529.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.626328.6%18 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No63c525.01$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No62c520$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.69058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No62c520$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.69556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c516.38$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51e…08b2backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c8…6eccbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19013163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19012863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19012066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes36c499.96$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.998432.1%27 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Yes16c492.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.814452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ced…9753backed Yes11c490.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.591844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes15c470$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.69238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes37c444.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.875451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fab…14a3backed No64c439.25$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No61c432.38$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6323456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x275f…39d9backed Yes37c423.58$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes24c396.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1719247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes37c395$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1548934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.