TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe3c8…6ecc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.1
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.41
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$72.05
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+378.7%+$70.35
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.34
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$167.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$539.57
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.02
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.78
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.35
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.36
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$100.71
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.08
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$148.52
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$88.71
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.12
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.86
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$939Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.27
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$87.82
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$195.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.