Bundesliga · resolved market

RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1775f013d041fdb3a227f2e57b784025e96fc3a27f7a79cd7cd8ec90c82f0dc

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $137,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $136,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,510 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	39c	12,524$4,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,639.76	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Over	59c	9,919$5,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,066.85	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	31c	9,505$2,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,575.9	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	52c	6,772$3,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,518.2	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over	40c	4,886$1,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,907.4	84	48.8%41 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	56c	4,095$2,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,277.54	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	58c	3,381$1,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,961.04	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under	31c	2,875$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.69	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-3.8wins	-0.23per pick	58cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	46c	2,836$1,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525.45	98	56.1%55 W · 43 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	49c	2,548$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.21	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under	61c	2,487$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.34	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	33c	2,060$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380.18	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	53c	1,944$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.49	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	59c	1,822$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.99	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over	36c	1,559$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$994.56	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under	33c	1,424$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under	61c	1,269$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	69c	1,266$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.28	283	45.2%128 W · 155 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over	54c	1,200$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	61c	1,100$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	39c	1,000$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610	386	46.9%181 W · 205 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	58c	999.98$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.99	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	60c	939.55$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.9	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	55c	877.27$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.52	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	61c	815.45$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.42	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	50c	729.24$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.55	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	1c	714.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	47	2.1%1 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under	44c	679.84$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.14	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	40c	639.62$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.67	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over	41c	512.9$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.61	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over	59c	506.87$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.38	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under	61c	497.11$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.23	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under	32c	479.6$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.47	50	24%12 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over	72c	455.16$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.49	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over	40c	450$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.9	142	54.2%77 W · 65 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	61c	440.3$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.58	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	32c	440.09$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.03	491	43.2%212 W · 279 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over	42c	431$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.98	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under	61c	428.07$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.12	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	34c	422.99$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.17	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	61c	411$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.71	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	33c	410.19$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Under	60c	406.67$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c0…44febacked Under	60c	357.22$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.33	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under	6c	300$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	33	3%1 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under	59c	299.99$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	333	40.8%136 W · 197 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under	58c	299.98$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.99	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Under	61c	296.45$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	33c	277.61$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.93	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over	39c	249.32$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.09	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	39c	247.03$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.69	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over	40c	238.47$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.08	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+53%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under	44c	219.37$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.84	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over	72c	198.03$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.95	140	55%77 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	28c	188.28$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.56	124	60.5%75 W · 49 L	+19.9wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Under	52c	180.88$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.79	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-54%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	42c	179$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.82	172	47.1%81 W · 91 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Over	56c	172.56$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.18	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	61c	171.66$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.71	330	47.3%156 W · 174 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	55c	156.48$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.62	105	32.4%34 W · 71 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over	70c	151.51$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.45	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-33%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	65c	150.62$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.72	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over	42c	147.18$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.36	144	47.9%69 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over	34c	141.24$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.22	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+133.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	40c	140.58$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.96	105	49.5%52 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under	65c	122.79$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.3	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	61c	116.3$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.88	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under	30c	110.38$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.11	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over	58c	100.84$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.35	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+5.9wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under	45c	99.41$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.73	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over	53c	99.01$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.54	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under	33c	98.89$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.63	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	25cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe32a…efabbacked Under	62c	93.62$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.05	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under	44c	89.11$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.32	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-6.6wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3c8…6eccbacked Over	71c	82.07$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	78c	81.05$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.83	131	39.7%52 W · 79 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	40c	78.39$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.03	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over	67c	72.71$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.99	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over	70c	70.14$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.04	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	38c	70.14$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	109	56%61 W · 48 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over	42c	68.6$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.79	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+8.6wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under	65c	66.59$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.6	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	72c	66.58$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.64	68	50%34 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over	42c	63.23$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+5.3wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	59c	62.12$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.65	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over	39c	61.76$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.67	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x355c…81c5backed Over	40c	60.25$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.15	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	59c	56.66$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.52	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8701…2075backed Over	46c	52.59$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.4	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over	40c	48.2$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.92	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	72c	46.32$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.97	110	65.5%72 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under	69c	46$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.75	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-5.4wins	-0.25per pick	65cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Under	59c	45.84$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.05	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	61c	45$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65e6…293ebacked Under	33c	44.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under	56c	43.38$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.29	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over	43c	42.31$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.91	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00e…6695backed Under	59c	41.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over	44c	40.69$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.93	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5this page
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Over won
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event