Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17b0d99db97a9b571a88922e9aa6c4e04dff18d07a395acd5200ca516024c333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 58c | 9,605$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 62c | 8,313$5,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.76 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 5,091$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.31 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 4,931$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.61 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 4,346$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.31 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 63c | 3,103$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 38c | 2,628$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.07 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Over | 75c | 2,257$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 36c | 2,191$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.36 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 38c | 1,997$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.45 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 24c | 1,845$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 1,677$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.38 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 61c | 1,416$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 1,371$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.84 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 35c | 999.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 975.42$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.5 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 36c | 959.62$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.91 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 944$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.68 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 40c | 723.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 14c | 686$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 568.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 558.95$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 558.22$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.64 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 37c | 370$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 13c | 352.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 63c | 285.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 65c | 271.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 16c | 255.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 63c | 248.05$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Under | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 37c | 215.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 201.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 6c | 199.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 63c | 194.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 61c | 175.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Over | 58c | 172.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 18c | 171.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…0fd8backed Over | 64c | 170.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 40c | 154.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 29c | 154.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 65c | 153.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 38c | 152.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 62c | 137.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 49c | 136.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…2e36backed Over | 68c | 134.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 42c | 132.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…d281backed Under | 37c | 113.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 65c | 105.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 65c | 89.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 56c | 79.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Over | 73c | 75.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 73c | 74.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 36c | 71.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…a8a3backed Over | 65c | 70.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 51c | 64.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 79c | 59.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…36febacked Under | 41c | 59.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 61c | 58.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under | 37c | 57.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Under | 30c | 55.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over | 63c | 54.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over | 65c | 51.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…e34ebacked Over | 64c | 50.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 61c | 45.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 65c | 45.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Over | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 59c | 44.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 45c | 41.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Under | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 38.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 38c | 38.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 63c | 37.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Over | 61c | 34.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…f0bbbacked Under | 33c | 33.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb025…0f77backed Over | 65c | 31.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 38c | 31.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.