TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd696…8a49backed Over58c9,605$5,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,034.041546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over62c8,313$5,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.765541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over69c5,091$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.313,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c4,931$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.6169851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c4,346$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.311,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f0…0171backed Over63c3,103$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under38c2,628$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.077254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over75c2,257$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.921968.4%13 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+128.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under36c2,191$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.3638748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under38c1,997$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.4520845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under24c1,845$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-44.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c1,677$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.381,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7052450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over61c1,416$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.171855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c1,371$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.842,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under38c1,267$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over62c1,100$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4181376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14038646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under35c999.97$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.995133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under41c975.42$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.564043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under46c967.6$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under36c959.62$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9128755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c944$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.6818759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under40c723.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.62250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under14c686$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c568.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69472.1%1 W · 46 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-57.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under37c558.95$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5815244.1%67 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c558.22$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6426445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under10c473$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.35024%12 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over62c399.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15229855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under37c370$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.95145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under13c352.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.75728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under37c299.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11133340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over63c285.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3914254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over65c271.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.078448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Under16c255.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.834134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over63c248.05$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under35c230$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Under42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under37c215.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.732532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over51c201.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3428345.2%128 W · 155 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8211741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under6c199.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over63c194.01$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.781752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over61c175.07$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2811543.5%50 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Over58c172.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under18c171.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.441127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ce4…0fd8backed Over64c170.7$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.431275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under40c154.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under29c154.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.574751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over65c153.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6220548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under38c152.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.772147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.723964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over62c137.49$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7416846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over49c136.19$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.461637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2878…2e36backed Over68c134.89$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under42c132.73$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7417852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f3…d281backed Under37c113.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over65c105.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over56c104.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.97758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over65c89.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.474969.4%34 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+48.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over56c79.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.535461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f61…f56fbacked Over73c75.83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.362157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over73c74.8$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under36c71.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.918050%40 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d3…a8a3backed Over65c70.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.234655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over51c64.03$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1816056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over63c62.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9713066.9%87 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.627247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over79c59.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.235952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6432…36febacked Under41c59.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over61c58.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5942046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under37c57.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Under30c55.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.012528%7 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over63c54.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.94660.9%28 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-71.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over65c51.06$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.873961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fb…e34ebacked Over64c50.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.162268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over61c45.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.682955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over65c45.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.861553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb7…7a94backed Over65c45.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8110946.8%51 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over65c45.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.813464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over59c44.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.296053.3%32 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Over56c43.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under45c41.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.624042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Under37c39.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c38.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9912069.2%83 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under38c38.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4914652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over63c37.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.119850%49 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Over61c34.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.153461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe730…f0bbbacked Under33c33.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3610956%61 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb025…0f77backed Over65c31.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Under38c31.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.032347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.