Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeadcce60db0b769c4e369d280fac7c95cfe1b9f02b265116302e563e653e8175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RB Leipzigof RB Leipzig, 1. FC Union Berlin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked RB Leipzig | 44c | 43,477$19,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,347.13 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 16,968$9,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,563.9 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 9,807$5,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,492.22 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 60c | 5,391$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.96 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 4,676$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.41 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked RB Leipzig | 43c | 3,701$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.48 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…0ddebacked RB Leipzig | 43c | 3,369$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed RB Leipzig | 44c | 3,284$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed RB Leipzig | 39c | 2,976$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.16 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 14c | 2,446$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 2,389$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.96 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked RB Leipzig | 44c | 1,966$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.86 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked RB Leipzig | 39c | 1,846$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 59c | 1,840$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.6 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed RB Leipzig | 37c | 1,515$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.87 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed RB Leipzig | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 61c | 1,348$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.29 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed RB Leipzig | 43c | 1,262$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.54 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 1,062$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.15 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 1,023$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.26 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 1,014$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.36 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed RB Leipzig | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed RB Leipzig | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked RB Leipzig | 48c | 978.46$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.22 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed RB Leipzig | 43c | 913.64$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed RB Leipzig | 43c | 899.05$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.74 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 893.39$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 63c | 841.98$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.91 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed RB Leipzig | 39c | 741.08$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.06 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 726.68$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.02 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e65…0b57backed RB Leipzig | 38c | 674.14$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed RB Leipzig | 54c | 656.64$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 49c | 652.55$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 641.5$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.78 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 641.5$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.78 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed RB Leipzig | 41c | 501$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 500.19$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed RB Leipzig | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 460$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed RB Leipzig | 42c | 409.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 343.63$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.8 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 42c | 342.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 8c | 299.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked RB Leipzig | 44c | 287.48$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed RB Leipzig | 43c | 278.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed RB Leipzig | 45c | 275.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed RB Leipzig | 76c | 263.53$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed RB Leipzig | 43c | 249.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +313.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked RB Leipzig | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 231.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed RB Leipzig | 43c | 221.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed RB Leipzig | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed RB Leipzig | 42c | 199.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 186.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed RB Leipzig | 42c | 168.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 162.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 156.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed RB Leipzig | 38c | 149.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed RB Leipzig | 51c | 144.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed RB Leipzig | 77c | 139.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 61c | 135.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked RB Leipzig | 43c | 134.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 59c | 132.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked RB Leipzig | 45c | 127.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 58c | 126.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed RB Leipzig | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked RB Leipzig | 39c | 122.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 121.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 58c | 116.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 41c | 115.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 34c | 115.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…d71dbacked RB Leipzig | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 105.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 58c | 105.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RB Leipzig | 44c | 104.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 58c | 101.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed RB Leipzig | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 61c | 96.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 86.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 55c | 82.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…36febacked RB Leipzig | 45c | 81.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed RB Leipzig | 39c | 81.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 31c | 79.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 25c | 74.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…f695backed RB Leipzig | 44c | 70.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed RB Leipzig | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…e34ebacked RB Leipzig | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 64.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 63.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)this page
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.