Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2160812df808ac368ceba446128c146c90afb1d04b4093bcc9630cd1654add93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $581,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $587,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36a3…fafbbacked Over | 29c | 404,655$117,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,350.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 71c | 344,828$244,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000.12 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 19,599$12,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,634.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 44c | 6,546$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.64 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 68c | 6,326$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.31 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Over | 27c | 6,021$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 43c | 5,669$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.59 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…e8d1backed Over | 48c | 5,633$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 5,140$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.36 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 31c | 4,976$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.56 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 4,652$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 40c | 3,710$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.54 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 72c | 3,664$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.44 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 3,585$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.84 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 71c | 3,500$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 57c | 3,283$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 48c | 3,149$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.46 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Over | 55c | 3,092$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 24c | 2,900$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.99 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142b…c8c9backed Over | 25c | 2,898$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 32c | 2,600$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Over | 45c | 2,532$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 53c | 2,398$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.95 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 57c | 2,331$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.79 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 2,182$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.87 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Under | 75c | 2,061$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea0…8d74backed Under | 41c | 2,027$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 72c | 1,746$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.3 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 58c | 1,580$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 1,576$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.21 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 73c | 1,477$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.36 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Over | 58c | 1,072$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 24c | 1,072$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 1,006$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.02 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 997.28$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.18 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 34c | 995.14$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.35 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 965.89$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.66 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 48c | 949.99$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.5 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 51c | 942.1$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.63 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…73b8backed Over | 52c | 935.26$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…8282backed Over | 43c | 880$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 38c | 872.12$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Over | 41c | 802.26$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a3…8917backed Over | 12c | 789.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff8e…1438backed Over | 27c | 745.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 721.07$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.98 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Over | 29c | 714.32$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.15 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed Over | 33c | 709.67$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.19 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 48c | 700$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 699.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Under | 51c | 678.65$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 36c | 667.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Under | 43c | 646.15$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 41c | 588.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Over | 11c | 587.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 27c | 531.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 32c | 521.23$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.65 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 27c | 488.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 62c | 471.26$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.18 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 71c | 420$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 71c | 420$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…3cd2backed Over | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Over | 44c | 398.58$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8399…a37bbacked Over | 46c | 395.45$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 39c | 372.51$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 71c | 370$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Over | 53c | 362.1$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 64c | 353.43$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed5…ce97backed Over | 54c | 342.14$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 339.93$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 28c | 334.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Over | 60c | 324.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…9bf6backed Over | 30c | 320.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 72c | 319$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 300$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.