Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1465b3eb7050e1ed6ac0291891ba8aa064e337733a23518350232d1da63556c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Over | 75c | 160,000$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 88,021$21,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,890.56 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 25c | 54,464$13,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,615.97 | 783 | 42.5%333 W · 450 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 25c | 19,672$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.22 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 76c | 10,142$7,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.01 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 75c | 6,000$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 5,723$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.75 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 25c | 4,466$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.56 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…64cdbacked Over | 75c | 3,943$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 75c | 2,183$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.52 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 25c | 2,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.71 | 1,358 | 48.3%656 W · 702 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 25c | 2,056$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.25 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6a…3d59backed Over | 74c | 1,859$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 1,753$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.14 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 1,313$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.29 | 1,786 | 34.9%623 W · 1,163 L | -34.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 1,187$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 1,943 | 42.5%826 W · 1,117 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647a…4d7abacked Over | 78c | 1,063$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 26c | 1,029$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 965.38$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.61 | 1,190 | 32.5%387 W · 803 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 25c | 849$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.25 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Over | 74c | 798.16$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.52 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 600$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 851 | 52.9%450 W · 401 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 26c | 534.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 585 | 51.6%302 W · 283 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 25c | 496.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 75c | 492.5$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 25c | 477.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 750 | 56.5%424 W · 326 L | +44.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…0e79backed Over | 74c | 450.1$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Over | 75c | 397.94$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 74c | 332.57$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 26c | 300.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 75c | 284.67$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 25c | 272.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 741 | 50.9%377 W · 364 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Over | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 26c | 263.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…3ebdbacked Over | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 25c | 256.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc5…eb41backed Over | 75c | 237.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 75c | 202.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 76c | 200.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Over | 74c | 199.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Over | 74c | 199.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…17fcbacked Over | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Over | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 25c | 194.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 76c | 194.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 25c | 180.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 321 | 49.2%158 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 74c | 175.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 75c | 147.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 305 | 59.7%182 W · 123 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 76c | 138.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 24c | 136.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 752 | 44.8%337 W · 415 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc12…c741backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…0490backed Over | 76c | 128.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Over | 74c | 121.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 25c | 119.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 26c | 111.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under | 27c | 110.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Under | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe971…e19bbacked Over | 75c | 99.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 26c | 80.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 74c | 74.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1,080 | 45.2%488 W · 592 L | -19.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 25c | 73.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 68.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 25c | 68.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…7309backed Over | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Over | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 255 | 57.3%146 W · 109 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 78c | 65.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Over | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 75c | 59.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked Under | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Under | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 76c | 51.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30a…70ebbacked Over | 74c | 48.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 74c | 46.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked Over | 75c | 40.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4757…5f90backed Over | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2041backed Over | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Over | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 75c | 39.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 26c | 38.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 26c | 38.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 75c | 33.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6146…becfbacked Over | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 72c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 73c | 29.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Over | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.