TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc12…c741

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.42
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$194.52
CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+45%+$43.45
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$91.2
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Will Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.6
SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$24
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.92
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.38
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.54
Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$30.75
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Will Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$37.95
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.29
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$25.04
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.62
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$44.33
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26%+$28.57
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+84.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$37.8
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.66
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$72.55
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$31.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$25.44
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.