TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof FURIA Esports, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17f1…af18backed FURIA Esports0c28,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.343775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed LOUD35c16,473$5,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,781.8451044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA Esports66c10,887$7,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,190.1590348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663d…2dd4backed FURIA Esports51c10,056$5,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.5217155%94 W · 77 L+16.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed FURIA Esports66c9,796$6,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,465.3659450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed LOUD34c8,292$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,472.9210346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked LOUD35c6,225$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.9559248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed LOUD38c4,511$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.8632440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed FURIA Esports65c3,996$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.2754756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed LOUD33c3,026$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.428827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LOUD34c2,979$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.9663546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LOUD24c2,863$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.611,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed FURIA Esports64c2,769$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.9114247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked LOUD35c2,496$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.3883560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed FURIA Esports51c2,257$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.011,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked LOUD14c1,774$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.771,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed LOUD36c1,766$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.9913831.2%43 W · 95 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LOUD35c1,598$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.731,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports72c1,583$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.951,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed FURIA Esports62c1,576$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.253047.5%252 W · 278 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed FURIA Esports61c1,569$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.341,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed FURIA Esports65c1,506$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97910058%58 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LOUD33c1,472$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.4896250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOUD32c1,439$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.462,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports73c1,280$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.2785442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed FURIA Esports65c1,256$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.411,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA Esports66c1,250$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed LOUD22c1,213$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.481,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA Esports68c1,211$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.481,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed LOUD54c1,168$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.1164247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed LOUD24c1,126$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.7756650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked LOUD35c1,124$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73366843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed LOUD55c1,077$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.641,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked LOUD34c1,039$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.5457246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA Esports73c1,030$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.91,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed LOUD5c1,003$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.9213862.3%86 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed LOUD2c1,000$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97994237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed LOUD33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67024147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked LOUD34c999.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.991,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked LOUD53c921.97$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.1612642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed LOUD43c899.91$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.679151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOUD45c860.83$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.011,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed LOUD47c844.72$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0262158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA Esports66c757$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.621,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed LOUD36c743.37$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.7613130.5%40 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x71ce…cc35backed LOUD52c740.93$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3412552%65 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed LOUD38c736.54$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.021,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cd…9f3ebacked LOUD53c733.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7115257.9%88 W · 64 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked LOUD35c713.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.0327142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LOUD31c713.31$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.183,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed LOUD34c707.7$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.085334%18 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD35c689.88$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.271,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed FURIA Esports57c684.87$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.081,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FURIA Esports62c636.77$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.81,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked FURIA Esports65c632$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0367553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed FURIA Esports67c614.37$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6360855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LOUD42c610.71$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.251,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked LOUD57c603.95$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3133251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked LOUD28c598.98$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1632566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed FURIA Esports5c594.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.521,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed LOUD23c589.01$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.169841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb003…d62dbacked LOUD52c584.92$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.738243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dae…0336backed LOUD55c583.8$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7114149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed FURIA Esports60c575.68$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.686251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed LOUD34c564.94$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.861,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked LOUD34c505.05$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.339545.3%43 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed FURIA Esports65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32571249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA Esports69c490.69$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.572,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FURIA Esports65c489.5$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.181,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked LOUD29c474.83$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4558420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked FURIA Esports62c469.06$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.811,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOUD32c446.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9728042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked FURIA Esports66c445.27$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.8895951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA Esports67c400$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LOUD59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16457151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed FURIA Esports65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26064553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Esports68c397.8$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.5186649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed LOUD35c392.64$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2141945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked FURIA Esports67c392.08$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6948652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked LOUD35c391.14$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.249129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA Esports75c382.14$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8174250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed LOUD43c371.06$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.142847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed FURIA Esports51c348.57$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5213936%50 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed LOUD33c322.79$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.271,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked LOUD15c316.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3826937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed FURIA Esports75c315.94$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9546153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA Esports64c299.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked FURIA Esports61c291.38$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7467056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked LOUD53c272.05$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7163352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed LOUD36c267.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.951,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LOUD23c266.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.261,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed FURIA Esports79c249.97$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.486634.8%23 W · 43 L-11.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xad63…d66fbacked LOUD34c247.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed LOUD38c236.75$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7842735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked LOUD34c230.5$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1370456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed FURIA Esports43c229.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6177545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed LOUD35c228.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.229230.4%28 W · 64 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed LOUD11c227.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8929846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LOUD34c225.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1480150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.