Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a60fd84e6aaee6449be34a4291be484a9fc1dcb5f888796c84d93d7b3d1b2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 53c | 1,135$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.41 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 54c | 1,045$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.05 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 51c | 974.52$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.12 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.67 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 4c | 338.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 50c | 327.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 14c | 259.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 37c | 153.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 60c | 127.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 53c | 113.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 53c | 102.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 61c | 99.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…449abacked Under | 22c | 86.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 40c | 77.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Over | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…31f4backed Over | 31c | 41.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…c784backed Over | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 54c | 27.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked Under | 51c | 20.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.