TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof RED Canids, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec92…6b59backed Fluxo W7M1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Fluxo W7M27c11,725$3,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.981,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fluxo W7M25c10,561$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.982,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed RED Canids73c9,194$6,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.1139964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Fluxo W7M20c7,805$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.671,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed RED Canids72c7,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9854756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked RED Canids65c5,500$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92533949%166 W · 173 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed RED Canids73c4,785$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.511,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked RED Canids74c4,700$3,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.9970456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Fluxo W7M39c4,573$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.8832440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Fluxo W7M28c4,459$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.2989347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fluxo W7M26c3,001$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.992,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked RED Canids69c2,999$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.222,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed Fluxo W7M45c2,929$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.7314930.9%46 W · 103 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fluxo W7M34c2,555$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.551,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed RED Canids40c2,450$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.469841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked RED Canids42c2,378$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.791,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked RED Canids74c2,292$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.0318953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed RED Canids72c2,250$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.571,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fluxo W7M5c2,228$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.613,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed RED Canids74c2,184$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.521,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed RED Canids71c1,680$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.1345041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed RED Canids74c1,420$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.258850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Fluxo W7M73c1,240$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90029846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed RED Canids74c1,221$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.461,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked RED Canids64c1,153$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.8883560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Fluxo W7M35c1,139$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40054246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Fluxo W7M67c1,035$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.6816942%71 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fluxo W7M38c1,031$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.531,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Fluxo W7M35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.851,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Fluxo W7M47c985.64$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.644146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fluxo W7M24c952.54$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.611,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M26c905.81$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5128042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M21c869.64$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.892,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed RED Canids55c830.44$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.871,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Fluxo W7M7c773$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.651,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked RED Canids80c768$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2263352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed RED Canids73c753$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3157754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Fluxo W7M28c744.7$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.811,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Fluxo W7M21c733.48$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.817841%32 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked RED Canids57c731.35$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.461,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked RED Canids62c722.65$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.7967760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Fluxo W7M26c655$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.332253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed RED Canids75c598.59$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.691,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe136…6d09backed Fluxo W7M30c537.44$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16319738.6%76 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Fluxo W7M29c489.66$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14211840.7%48 W · 70 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Fluxo W7M29c479.32$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4185652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc480…60afbacked Fluxo W7M47c479.02$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.139747.9%190 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed RED Canids63c474.24$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1616339.3%64 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M33c449.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.962,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Fluxo W7M35c434.03$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9112047.5%57 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked RED Canids71c404.09$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1998956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Fluxo W7M14c386.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4324323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed RED Canids70c385.43$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.252,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c1dabacked Fluxo W7M27c366.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Fluxo W7M8c359.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.431,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked RED Canids41c358.52$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9323047%108 W · 122 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked Fluxo W7M30c350$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked RED Canids80c350$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0579653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Fluxo W7M43c347.87$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.250749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked RED Canids31c346.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.161,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed RED Canids74c346$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9696054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Fluxo W7M41c340$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4217042.9%73 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fluxo W7M40c335.8$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9840231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Fluxo W7M28c318.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked RED Canids65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked RED Canids66c304.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2152065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Fluxo W7M16c299.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8530231.1%94 W · 208 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Fluxo W7M30c299.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9520631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked RED Canids66c283.65$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4425256.3%142 W · 110 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Fluxo W7M31c266.36$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.51,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…19bebacked Fluxo W7M38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025560.4%154 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M33c260.91$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.012,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Fluxo W7M26c260.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.727247.8%130 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Fluxo W7M29c260.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4587844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Fluxo W7M34c252.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8640446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Fluxo W7M30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b7…fbcfbacked RED Canids72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7027367%183 W · 90 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed RED Canids33c249.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.594237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fluxo W7M35c234$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.211,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed RED Canids65c232.69$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4464451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Fluxo W7M69c227.54$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15723149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd91…5d82backed RED Canids75c220$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed Fluxo W7M30c218$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.477545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec6…3b01backed RED Canids50c213.17$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1718247.3%86 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed RED Canids64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7257151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked RED Canids64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7263646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb5…def4backed Fluxo W7M51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011258.9%66 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M23c182.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.491,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed Fluxo W7M58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.438342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe547…a35abacked Fluxo W7M15c175.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.386842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed RED Canids61c164.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9845042.2%190 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e1…5683backed Fluxo W7M61c164.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011160.4%67 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Fluxo W7M32c161.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.248245.1%37 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed RED Canids65c159.01$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2174250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Fluxo W7M51c149.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7735751.5%184 W · 173 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Fluxo W7M29c148.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0858420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf34d…26d5backed Fluxo W7M14c146.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc12…c741backed Fluxo W7M70c143.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed RED Canids36c141.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4152743.5%229 W · 298 L+32.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.