TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof RED Canids, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked Fluxo W7M45c5,770$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.61,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Fluxo W7M9c4,650$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.531,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed RED Canids74c3,445$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.671,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe607…eaa0backed RED Canids76c3,344$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.1510467.3%70 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked RED Canids78c3,127$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.9214448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked RED Canids56c2,784$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.8467552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Fluxo W7M20c2,696$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.291,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed RED Canids61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97518467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Fluxo W7M46c2,067$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.624062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Fluxo W7M10c1,950$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19515356.9%87 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed RED Canids77c1,703$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.691,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fluxo W7M9c1,578$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.82,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Fluxo W7M22c1,439$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Fluxo W7M10c1,375$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5337548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed RED Canids80c1,259$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7923674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Fluxo W7M13c1,165$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2143539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Fluxo W7M23c1,099$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8540145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed RED Canids65c1,098$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.91,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fluxo W7M10c1,047$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.672,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Fluxo W7M23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Fluxo W7M22c999.94$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.998922.5%20 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8ad…8799backed Fluxo W7M18c983$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.21825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed RED Canids59c926.54$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.0216339.3%64 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Fluxo W7M18c918.56$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.658420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked RED Canids71c899.99$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26563646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fluxo W7M23c807.38$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.071,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed RED Canids61c803.31$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.611,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Fluxo W7M41c788.14$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7929038.6%112 W · 178 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Fluxo W7M11c778.82$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8590537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed RED Canids55c750$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.514348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Fluxo W7M9c682.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.381,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Fluxo W7M23c674.28$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0816942%71 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Fluxo W7M42c674.14$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.0430643.1%132 W · 174 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked RED Canids79c657.63$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3622245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Fluxo W7M13c630.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.411,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed RED Canids57c598.22$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.282,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Fluxo W7M22c590.91$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Fluxo W7M21c566.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0738640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe136…6d09backed Fluxo W7M27c552.59$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14919738.6%76 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed Fluxo W7M20c548$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.16529.2%19 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Fluxo W7M22c530$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.774637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Fluxo W7M22c522.72$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11518121%38 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M41c519.58$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.312,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked RED Canids64c501.86$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.442,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Fluxo W7M21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10535243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a35…de38backed Fluxo W7M34c496$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.155230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Fluxo W7M21c489.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7244335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed RED Canids56c454.16$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.165246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked RED Canids74c403.15$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8245937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c97…bcc8backed Fluxo W7M7c397.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Fluxo W7M27c370.06$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8515821.5%34 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked RED Canids55c365.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1321559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da2…fa9fbacked Fluxo W7M22c364.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.741741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed RED Canids54c350.16$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0715944%70 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Fluxo W7M46c346.13$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.223764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked RED Canids76c343.86$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.531,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked RED Canids54c340.74$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.611,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dca…8172backed RED Canids54c330$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+80.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fluxo W7M36c306$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.83,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Fluxo W7M14c302.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4232650%163 W · 163 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked RED Canids78c300.14$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0334357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked Fluxo W7M21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Fluxo W7M27c253.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.265637.5%21 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c248backed Fluxo W7M40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016735.9%60 W · 107 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed RED Canids55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.511844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M26c224.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.62,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Fluxo W7M42c224.22$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1511532.2%37 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M17c212.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.772,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fluxo W7M5c209.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.991,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed RED Canids54c200.96$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.581,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed RED Canids56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8745618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed RED Canids55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9025345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fluxo W7M7c195.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6682044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed RED Canids79c194.24$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7943837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fluxo W7M23c184.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.752,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fluxo W7M46c180.43$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked RED Canids66c176.4$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.111,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked RED Canids73c175.4$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8640231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b1a…b6f3backed RED Canids59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4911535.7%41 W · 74 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Fluxo W7M45c169.24$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.161,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32bb…8addbacked Fluxo W7M30c167.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fluxo W7M45c165.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.931,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Fluxo W7M17c158.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fluxo W7M20c155.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.031,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9cf…c8b9backed Fluxo W7M16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.517939.1%70 W · 109 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Fluxo W7M28c149.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8217838.8%69 W · 109 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked RED Canids78c137.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8485849.5%425 W · 433 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Fluxo W7M11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked RED Canids75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3319759.4%117 W · 80 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Fluxo W7M21c131.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5314148.2%68 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a5e…1a0dbacked Fluxo W7M50c128.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.572740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed RED Canids68c126.31$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e47…0819backed Fluxo W7M41c124.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.722040%8 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fluxo W7M21c120.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.311,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed RED Canids73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.42853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked RED Canids74c116.65$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3323057%131 W · 99 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd9f…a586backed Fluxo W7M54c113.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.042259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed RED Canids76c111.84$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8419232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked RED Canids79c111.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3928253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbc…deedbacked RED Canids57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.340245.8%184 W · 218 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.