Lol · resolved market
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a29496cda699e7c9e867c4da2835e6ec83baf3f71cec452e888de0eea5d5b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Fluxo W7M | 14c | 7,102$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.01 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Fluxo W7M | 14c | 5,694$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.61 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Fluxo W7M | 35c | 4,200$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked RED Canids | 65c | 3,464$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.39 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…d4dcbacked Fluxo W7M | 2c | 2,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +331.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Fluxo W7M | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed RED Canids | 78c | 1,995$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.25 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Fluxo W7M | 15c | 1,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 143 | 27.3%39 W · 104 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Fluxo W7M | 34c | 1,166$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.11 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Fluxo W7M | 30c | 1,086$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked RED Canids | 75c | 1,020$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.04 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…3668backed Fluxo W7M | 35c | 908.43$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.87 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked RED Canids | 66c | 902.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.52 | 442 | 45.9%203 W · 239 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Fluxo W7M | 11c | 850$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked RED Canids | 75c | 847.93$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.02 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed RED Canids | 76c | 800$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked RED Canids | 73c | 757.47$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked RED Canids | 63c | 742.43$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.27 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RED Canids | 65c | 592.53$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…af5bbacked Fluxo W7M | 14c | 550$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Fluxo W7M | 10c | 476.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids | 80c | 438.24$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Fluxo W7M | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Fluxo W7M | 13c | 390.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M | 22c | 353.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked RED Canids | 65c | 349.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Fluxo W7M | 21c | 349.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked RED Canids | 79c | 315.49$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked RED Canids | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed RED Canids | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed RED Canids | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Fluxo W7M | 37c | 299.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Fluxo W7M | 35c | 288.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked RED Canids | 62c | 283.58$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed RED Canids | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed RED Canids | 78c | 216.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 187.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 178.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…ed87backed Fluxo W7M | 40c | 146.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed RED Canids | 65c | 128.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed RED Canids | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Fluxo W7M | 16c | 100.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed RED Canids | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 333 | 32.7%109 W · 224 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Fluxo W7M | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…4593backed Fluxo W7M | 16c | 92.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked RED Canids | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RED Canids | 70c | 74.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…2745backed Fluxo W7M | 20c | 71.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Fluxo W7M | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RED Canids | 76c | 61.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed RED Canids | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fluxo W7M | 38c | 60.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Fluxo W7M | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34d…26d5backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked RED Canids | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…fc53backed Fluxo W7M | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 49.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 45.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…6fe1backed RED Canids | 71c | 43.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 234 | 71.8%168 W · 66 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed RED Canids | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 414 | 68.4%283 W · 131 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed RED Canids | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed RED Canids | 66c | 30.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed RED Canids | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked RED Canids | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed RED Canids | 63c | 20.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked RED Canids | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…3cbabacked RED Canids | 79c | 14.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 226 | 66.4%150 W · 76 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)RED Canids won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 WinnerRED Canids won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.