TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9b2…2745

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT12030.8%37 W · 83 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked BOMBA Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.36
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$39
Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)backed Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+275.8%+$55.17
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winnerbacked Verdant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-Inbacked Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winnerbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winnerbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.23
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+218.4%+$257.69
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stagebacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$52.37
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.95
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112%+$70.41
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.