Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc8c668cc36b9feec3d2218c010d75ff136f335c4d9beb8c30a946be3ee27cdb

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Verdant
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,073 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdaef…54e9backed Verdant	25c	4,563$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.23	321	50.2%161 W · 160 L	+19.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Karmine Corp Blue	75c	4,416$3,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.07	677	60.4%409 W · 268 L	+42.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Verdant	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	592	0%0 W · 592 L	-7.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp Blue	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	669	47.8%320 W · 349 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Verdant	29c	1,727$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.68	893	47%420 W · 473 L	+44.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Verdant	14c	1,680$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.61	1,794	51.1%917 W · 877 L	+50.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked Karmine Corp Blue	80c	950$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.5	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp Blue	62c	800.5$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.2	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Verdant	15c	771.21$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.8	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Karmine Corp Blue	72c	567.21$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.67	474	53.4%253 W · 221 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Verdant	18c	545$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.1	2,156	53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Karmine Corp Blue	77c	514.66$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.56	199	48.2%96 W · 103 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca4…f852backed Verdant	10c	438.05$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.99	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Karmine Corp Blue	80c	427.95$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.59	520	62.3%324 W · 196 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Verdant	14c	360$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.34	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Verdant	15c	353.67$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	1,443	43.4%626 W · 817 L	+105.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Verdant	16c	340.53$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.47	698	41.8%292 W · 406 L	+46.3wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c15…a96cbacked Karmine Corp Blue	61c	323.56$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.72	303	66.3%201 W · 102 L	+34.0wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Verdant	28c	319.22$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.02	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Verdant	15c	277.54$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.76	212	31.1%66 W · 146 L	-14.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp Blue	60c	261$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.4	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed Verdant	44c	250$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.05	367	49.9%183 W · 184 L	+15.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Verdant	22c	228.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.88	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Verdant	27c	213$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.89	1,638	46.7%765 W · 873 L	-26.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Karmine Corp Blue	77c	211.92$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.98	478	54%258 W · 220 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38d0…5ea8backed Verdant	67c	200$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.75	160	48.1%77 W · 83 L	+14.6wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Verdant	19c	186.87$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.71	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Verdant	25c	172.43$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.65	1,826	39.9%728 W · 1,098 L	-61.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Verdant	23c	171.05$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Verdant	15c	169$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	1,447	13.3%192 W · 1,255 L	-109.5wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Verdant	50c	161.18$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.97	675	53.5%361 W · 314 L	+25.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Karmine Corp Blue	68c	158.87$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.84	483	53.4%258 W · 225 L	-19.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Verdant	8c	153.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	548	24.3%133 W · 415 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae8…e1b3backed Karmine Corp Blue	78c	152.57$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.26	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-7.1wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Verdant	44c	143.22$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.38	525	43.8%230 W · 295 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Verdant	17c	139.67$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	1,063	47.2%502 W · 561 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Karmine Corp Blue	73c	137.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.33	1,663	59.5%990 W · 673 L	+98.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Verdant	26c	135$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…8aabbacked Verdant	14c	132.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Verdant	14c	130.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.73	353	41.9%148 W · 205 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Karmine Corp Blue	76c	127.88$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.01	664	58%385 W · 279 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Verdant	15c	124.75$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	501	58.3%292 W · 209 L	-17.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Verdant	19c	118$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Verdant	27c	104.41$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.19	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Verdant	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Karmine Corp Blue	79c	98$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.52	1,213	52.3%635 W · 578 L	+33.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed Karmine Corp Blue	63c	95.73$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.73	151	35.8%54 W · 97 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Verdant	21c	94.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	527	43.5%229 W · 298 L	+32.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Karmine Corp Blue	76c	93.27$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.12	1,270	57%724 W · 546 L	+45.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Karmine Corp Blue	65c	92.31$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.31	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b2…2745backed Verdant	33c	90.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	120	30.8%37 W · 83 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Verdant	24c	83.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	296	43.6%129 W · 167 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Verdant	21c	78.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	1,218	39.9%486 W · 732 L	-65.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c5…6483backed Karmine Corp Blue	66c	70$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.7	269	58%156 W · 113 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Verdant	27c	68.92$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.61	487	47%229 W · 258 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc1…7f52backed Verdant	37c	67.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.05	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	38cpaid	-77%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d94…eb52backed Karmine Corp Blue	67c	61.09$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.09	323	45.5%147 W · 176 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Verdant	18c	59.51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	217	47%102 W · 115 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Karmine Corp Blue	62c	52.86$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.23	242	51.7%125 W · 117 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5181…b4a2backed Karmine Corp Blue	66c	49.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	110	60.9%67 W · 43 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Verdant	23c	49.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	1,539	43.7%673 W · 866 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Verdant	27c	47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed Karmine Corp Blue	75c	42$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.7	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05c…ea2cbacked Karmine Corp Blue	66c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	104	51%53 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Karmine Corp Blue	80c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43f…5778backed Karmine Corp Blue	67c	35.69$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.69	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb07…fd6bbacked Karmine Corp Blue	75c	32$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	82	67.1%55 W · 27 L	+7.9wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Karmine Corp Blue	75c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	138	49.3%68 W · 70 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47a…67fabacked Karmine Corp Blue	79c	28.49$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.99	118	56.8%67 W · 51 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Karmine Corp Blue	70c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	1,247	52.8%659 W · 588 L	+15.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp Blue	77c	24.8$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	1,899	37.1%705 W · 1,194 L	-113.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa525…53c0backed Karmine Corp Blue	75c	22.16$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.44	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Verdant	49c	20.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	157	56.7%89 W · 68 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbe2…f54abacked Karmine Corp Blue	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	79cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)Karmine Corp Blue won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-InKarmine Corp Blue won
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event