Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bfe80909f52e51fd072c22863f10779ebac14c82cc1d917905ebee86e95f826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Verdant | 9c | 6,233$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Verdant | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Verdant | 9c | 2,204$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Verdant | 11c | 1,633$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Verdant | 7c | 1,125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…b0dabacked Verdant | 4c | 1,124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Verdant | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed Verdant | 7c | 778.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Verdant | 10c | 576$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Verdant | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…dcc2backed Verdant | 22c | 475$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 222 | 38.7%86 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 78c | 475$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Verdant | 8c | 441.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Verdant | 7c | 356.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Verdant | 11c | 334.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Verdant | 7c | 279.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Verdant | 16c | 247.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…5a1cbacked Verdant | 10c | 228.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…5653backed Verdant | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Verdant | 7c | 184.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Verdant | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-Inthis page
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)Karmine Corp Blue won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.