Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4bcf27c1fdc5df78499c224fe5fa0dd20b8c3ba9ce0b8ba0f646440d55eb530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Verdant | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Verdant | 16c | 1,558$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.33 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Verdant | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Verdant | 16c | 937.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a787backed Verdant | 4c | 919.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Verdant | 17c | 580.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Verdant | 10c | 269$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Verdant | 12c | 239.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Verdant | 11c | 224$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Karmine Corp Blue | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Verdant | 10c | 179.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Verdant | 8c | 141$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Verdant | 19c | 134.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Verdant | 21c | 125.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Verdant | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Verdant | 14c | 108.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 251 | 51%128 W · 123 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Verdant | 20c | 102.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Verdant | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Verdant | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Verdant | 18c | 99.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Verdant | 21c | 97.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Karmine Corp Blue | 78c | 40.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Karmine Corp Blue | 78c | 26.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)Karmine Corp Blue won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-InKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.