TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd05c…ea2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10451%53 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$7
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.7
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$52.09
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.02
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$49.19
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$11.1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$89
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.9
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.05
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$77.95
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$9.3
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$195
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$11.98
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$11.4
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$28.1
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$24.2
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$16.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$11.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$23.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$359.7
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+148.3%+$161.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$46.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.