TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Natus Vincere, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,019,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,254,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,019,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,837 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89dd…f662backed G235c404,138$143,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,048.586940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Natus Vincere56c204,457$114,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,576.7913548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed G236c149,999$53,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,249.6520354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Natus Vincere65c126,000$81,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,899.9814050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed G235c96,490$33,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,083.4810142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Natus Vincere64c75,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,999.887363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere50c71,254$35,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,290.61,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Natus Vincere64c70,809$45,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,317.4616443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G236c60,278$21,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,698.245,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere65c60,000$38,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,717.4376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed G235c57,143$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,142.8612955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere66c54,431$35,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,825.8221655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Natus Vincere52c50,387$26,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,334.1914947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked G241c50,000$20,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,499.914639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed G238c46,019$17,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,572.4111439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbc…a37bbacked Natus Vincere65c45,584$29,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,629.725468.5%37 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere58c44,444$25,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,748.5137646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Natus Vincere65c43,077$27,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,799.9319055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked G218c41,508$7,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,119.4964852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked G235c40,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,999.9815245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed G235c40,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,999.9341649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere66c37,839$24,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,863.5819757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere64c35,449$22,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,686.636453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed G236c35,339$12,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,617.181963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere65c30,541$19,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,797.2838358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere55c30,367$16,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,595.695,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Natus Vincere65c30,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,50010361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked G239c30,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,299.9120248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed G235c28,945$10,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,811.861346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Natus Vincere65c28,836$18,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,743.391758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed G235c28,600$10,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,59033343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed G235c28,571$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,571.4221048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked G245c28,067$12,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,305.5441040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Natus Vincere65c26,101$16,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,965.5314145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec14…5a4ebacked G230c24,996$7,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,462.05933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb86…4441backed Natus Vincere66c24,387$16,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,054.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked Natus Vincere65c23,199$15,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,015.455742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Natus Vincere65c22,968$14,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,929.4311947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere41c22,854$9,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,271.681,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Natus Vincere66c22,727$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed G235c21,111$7,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,722.1588242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4d…546abacked Natus Vincere61c20,743$12,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,700540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G235c20,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,00023145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed G234c20,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.9713244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Natus Vincere74c17,342$12,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,809.220745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Natus Vincere60c16,000$9,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,64017162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked G241c16,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.949855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed G242c15,851$6,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,193.431,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed G242c15,823$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,193.479040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78b…2bb3backed Natus Vincere65c15,385$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Natus Vincere47c15,070$7,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,082.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked G234c15,000$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,849.912458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked G236c14,931$5,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,550.7861754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G270c14,500$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.9850054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Natus Vincere66c14,154$9,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,279.9433359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed G239c13,512$5,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,183.433033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere57c13,346$7,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,656.812,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked G250c12,810$6,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,394.561,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Natus Vincere59c12,712$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked G235c12,500$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,124.9718550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4620…ea85backed G216c12,272$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,308.223748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G235c12,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,80036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed Natus Vincere65c11,906$7,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,688.956350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G235c11,899$4,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,734.4183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Natus Vincere64c11,700$7,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,487.97250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6a…4119backed Natus Vincere60c11,275$6,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,739.293056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Natus Vincere59c11,138$6,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,571.575641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked G235c10,999$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.5129127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2e…94bbbacked Natus Vincere65c10,868$7,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,063.981540%6 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-43.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x26b1…6343backed G227c10,642$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,768.111118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere64c10,250$6,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,543.9417062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed G234c10,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6006841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked G236c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,40012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked G236c10,000$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,44028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed G236c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,40016449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.9167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387f…2095backed Natus Vincere63c9,900$6,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,284.982157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Natus Vincere58c9,750$5,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,654.991,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…7e93backed G237c9,459$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,959.463636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G250c9,425$4,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.0281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G246c9,397$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,109.591,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked G268c9,215$6,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,979.064843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed G252c9,101$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,369.8812259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed G243c9,016$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,138.9832346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked G236c8,888$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,688.3222449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Natus Vincere65c8,784$5,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,709.5817643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked G259c8,723$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.6231253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed G234c8,686$2,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,743.5622943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Natus Vincere69c8,651$5,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,950.723354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Natus Vincere58c8,621$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008361.4%51 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Natus Vincere61c8,489$5,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,15820448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked Natus Vincere64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12d…7ca6backed Natus Vincere64c7,796$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,989.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed G215c7,766$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,595.7318624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Natus Vincere65c7,748$5,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,036.223949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Natus Vincere65c7,692$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked G229c7,617$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,398.692920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Natus Vincere61c7,394$4,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,487.4112451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ab…f7eabacked Natus Vincere58c7,063$4,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,082.711060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.