Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5106a1e8ea83ef7ac80cea093593e563c115c97727c4212ec8ff437efa39cc7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Team Spirit, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $584,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 57c | 70,540$40,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,202.28 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…561ebacked Team Spirit | 0c | 39,994$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 24,344$8,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,562.77 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 13,779$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,573.09 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 68c | 13,372$9,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,101 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Team Spirit | 76c | 13,145$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 12,678$7,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,977.76 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 11,046$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,352.4 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 10,594$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,656.34 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 10,594$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.88 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 9,579$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630.89 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 8,959$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.4 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 8,183$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,616.25 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 68c | 7,750$5,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.99 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 7,662$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 66c | 7,611$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.5 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 7,000$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.9 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 6,884$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.2 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 6,129$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.34 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 5,928$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.61 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 5,166$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.34 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 5,059$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.15 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 5,000$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.75 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335a…6953backed Team Spirit | 69c | 4,929$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 4,769$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.75 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 4,057$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.13 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 3,864$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.79 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 3,580$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.4 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 3,272$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.71 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 61c | 3,038$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.02 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 3,013$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,880$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.4 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Team Spirit | 67c | 2,857$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.54 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Spirit | 47c | 2,611$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.44 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 2,580$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.37 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 2,504$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.54 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 2,477$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.65 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit | 68c | 2,316$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.57 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 2,267$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.36 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Spirit | 40c | 2,176$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.44 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,900$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Team Spirit | 28c | 1,888$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.37 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,804$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.68 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Spirit | 32c | 1,800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,794$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.57 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,781$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.43 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,774$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,739$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.93 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…b47abacked Team Spirit | 38c | 1,700$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,661$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.96 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,646$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.9 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,583$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.44 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,523$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.61 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,502$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.98 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Team Spirit | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Team Spirit | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…46ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,472$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…df98backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,469$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,453$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.56 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…45e1backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,419$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.17 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Team Spirit | 69c | 1,317$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.95 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Spirit | 28c | 1,314$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.78 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,298$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.75 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,258$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.23 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,209$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.39 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 1,191$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.11 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 1,158$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.46 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,140$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.81 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…b4f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,133$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,121$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.65 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,120$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.46 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,100$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.99 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,037$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.39 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,000$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.36 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Spirit | 60c | 997.52$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.51 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2261…ffd1backed Team Spirit | 1c | 987.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Spirit | 69c | 981.8$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.56 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 975.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.93 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 929.73$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.32 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 908.12$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.06 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…4625backed Team Spirit | 54c | 899.99$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 816.08$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.36 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Spirit | 67c | 774.99$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.24 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 755.02$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 745.19$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 736$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.4 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 710.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 706.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 701.22$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.93 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Team Spirit | 44c | 700$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 243 | 45.3%110 W · 133 L | +15.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 694.46$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.71 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.