Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa269fa30be71fe2b72dcc3593f6dfd6b8535b7bc6f5de636eea2e9a5bfbc723
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Team Spirit, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 4,416$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.84 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 4,395$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.63 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.97 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 3,209$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.44 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,248$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 2,015$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.58 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,882$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.26 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,784$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.49 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 999.99$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.88 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Team Spirit | 44c | 975.32$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…1bdebacked Team Spirit | 44c | 909.07$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 787.99$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 683.64$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.64 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 681.82$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.75 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Spirit | 43c | 666.38$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 641.93$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.39 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Team Spirit | 44c | 636.36$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Team Spirit | 44c | 628$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.32 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 600.67$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 592.65$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.63 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 568.05$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.85 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…c7aabacked Team Spirit | 44c | 545$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 522.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.41 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Team Spirit | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Team Spirit | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…944cbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…20e6backed Team Spirit | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Spirit | 44c | 459.16$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.36 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Spirit | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Team Spirit | 45c | 380$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Team Spirit | 44c | 330.61$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.47 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Spirit | 49c | 315$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 299.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 270.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Spirit | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 215.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f7…71d2backed Team Spirit | 46c | 213.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Team Spirit | 44c | 194.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team Spirit | 43c | 186.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Team Spirit | 45c | 182.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 44c | 177.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 176.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Spirit | 44c | 169.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 151$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 138.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Spirit | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…7654backed Team Spirit | 45c | 134.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Team Spirit | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 128$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 115.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 111.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Team Spirit | 48c | 111.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team Spirit | 41c | 110.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 100.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Team Spirit | 45c | 94.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Team Spirit | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Team Spirit | 41c | 84.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Team Spirit | 40c | 83.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 79.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3f33backed Team Spirit | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 76.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Team Spirit | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…f428backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed Team Spirit | 47c | 65.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 63.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Team Spirit | 44c | 50.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Team Spirit | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Team Spirit | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 49.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…9de3backed Team Spirit | 45c | 49.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Team Spirit | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Spirit | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed Team Spirit | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Team Spirit | 41c | 30.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Spirit | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…cc1bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…ad96backed Team Spirit | 46c | 27.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Team Spirit | 42c | 26.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4965backed Team Spirit | 43c | 25.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Spirit | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed Team Spirit | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…cad6backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 21.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…d8b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 17.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.