Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0877d473b76ec87ff9310cb90b08efbeb48558fb1a45c192d80425a035693346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 64c | 44,410$28,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,924.66 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 24,816$9,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,075.81 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.99 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 14,322$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.1 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Spirit | 61c | 13,485$8,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.73 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 69c | 12,913$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.31 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 12,160$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.98 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 69c | 11,346$7,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.17 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 10,675$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.5 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 9,839$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 9,822$6,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 9,648$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.92 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 8,768$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.05 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 7,760$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 6,720$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.83 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 5,450$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 4,560$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Spirit | 70c | 4,531$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.6 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 4,018$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Spirit | 75c | 3,962$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.72 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 68c | 3,829$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.81 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Spirit | 62c | 3,235$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.26 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 3,048$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.94 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 2,938$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 2,900$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 2,852$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.35 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 2,701$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.09 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 2,630$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.46 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Team Spirit | 77c | 2,601$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.04 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 71c | 2,500$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.49 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Spirit | 80c | 2,054$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.23 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Spirit | 69c | 1,991$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.9 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Spirit | 69c | 1,970$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.8 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 1,861$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.2 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,757$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.29 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,752$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.33 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,661$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.56 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Spirit | 69c | 1,660$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.23 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,627$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.58 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,611$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.42 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 1,551$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.77 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,522$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.44 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Spirit | 78c | 1,466$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.07 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,452$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.06 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,398$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,395$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.73 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Spirit | 68c | 1,261$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.72 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,207$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.36 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,196$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Spirit | 68c | 1,172$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.18 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,149$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.74 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,114$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.29 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,084$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.16 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 1,030$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.53 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,025$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.68 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,000$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.1 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 984.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 982.35$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.5 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 960.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Spirit | 64c | 949.98$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Team Spirit | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…b2e1backed Team Spirit | 78c | 902.4$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 899.99$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.13 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 864.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 837.99$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…e6a6backed Team Spirit | 71c | 822.17$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 821.87$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Team Spirit | 77c | 804.79$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Spirit | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 785.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.73 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 750.8$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.1 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team Spirit | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Spirit | 69c | 744$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.58 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 743.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 733.76$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Spirit | 71c | 701$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.47 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 688.3$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 680$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 676.48$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…4dedbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 635.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Spirit | 69c | 632$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.96 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…4625backed Team Spirit | 63c | 600$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Spirit | 67c | 597$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Team Spirit | 71c | 588$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 585.38$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.27 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Spirit | 76c | 581.6$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.49 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 555.09$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 554.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 549.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Team Spirit | 62c | 514$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.32 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Spirit | 77c | 506.18$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Spirit | 80c | 503.67$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Team Spirit | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.