TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ff0…c7aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,138.64
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$280.8
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.13
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.2
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$358.22
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$286.08
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.55
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$641
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.2
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Cbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.26
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5)backed G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$324.52
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$170.52
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.46
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,268.88
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$886.69
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$870.48
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$598.4
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.2
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$128.64
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.24
Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.14
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$189.45
Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.94
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$146.48
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$267.85
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.76
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$80.7
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$93.12
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$130.28
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.72
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$45.18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$151.3
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.05
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.6%+$8.68
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.7%+$152.43
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+93.4%+$26.7
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$122.76
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.4%+$54.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$831.6
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,056.44
Valorant: la Masia vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.78
Valorant: FOKUS vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$281.96
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Cbacked Pixel Lumina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.5
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.24
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$265.07
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$71.87
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.29
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.65
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.19
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.46
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$360.34
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$156.6
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$30.81
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$53.92
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$226.81
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$182.3
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$793.54
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.61
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.8
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.72
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.92
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winnerbacked Game Master · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.18
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$399
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$466.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$87.21
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.29
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$72.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $45B and $55B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.