Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2433d3b2b65cee13ffba2de08ba29125b6c931489e57966c7761a3cbb5d84e11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCAM Esports Clubof Misa Esports, UCAM Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Misa Esports | 50c | 10,487$5,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,243.37 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 47c | 8,288$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.85 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 7,903$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.55 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 6,618$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.57 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Misa Esports | 50c | 4,433$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.16 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Misa Esports | 49c | 4,231$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.08 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Misa Esports | 50c | 3,150$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 3,142$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.2 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 3,020$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 2,123$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.72 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Misa Esports | 50c | 2,102$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.76 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 1,588$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.89 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Misa Esports | 54c | 1,580$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed UCAM Esports Club | 51c | 1,312$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.85 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Misa Esports | 50c | 1,249$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Misa Esports | 51c | 1,245$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.2 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 1,162$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.51 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Misa Esports | 53c | 1,108$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.3 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…c7aabacked Misa Esports | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.61 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Misa Esports | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.44 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 60c | 865$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Misa Esports | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed UCAM Esports Club | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Misa Esports | 54c | 637$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…bac6backed Misa Esports | 54c | 626$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed UCAM Esports Club | 52c | 575.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…7c8fbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 562$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 529.78$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.19 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Misa Esports | 49c | 505$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Misa Esports | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…c3e7backed Misa Esports | 52c | 475.9$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 401.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 348.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Misa Esports | 58c | 330.1$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Misa Esports | 50c | 317.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Misa Esports | 50c | 255.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed UCAM Esports Club | 42c | 227.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 50c | 212.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed UCAM Esports Club | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Misa Esports | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed UCAM Esports Club | 51c | 160$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Misa Esports | 49c | 152.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 51c | 132.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed UCAM Esports Club | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Misa Esports | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Misa Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Misa Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…6ebebacked Misa Esports | 51c | 94.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Misa Esports | 50c | 80.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Misa Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 73.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 69.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Misa Esports | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Misa Esports | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Misa Esports | 51c | 52.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Misa Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Misa Esports | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Misa Esports | 57c | 43.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Misa Esports | 50c | 35.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7579…524abacked Misa Esports | 51c | 31.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Misa Esports | 50c | 22.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 416 | 60.1%250 W · 166 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…41f3backed Misa Esports | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Misa Esports | 55c | 18.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.