NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb77a90106dc0cfa6420c2a38d760729a46b5b6455ce461ac8b7c4a1e90ea6de5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,992,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,930,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,992,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,693 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Pistons | 56c | 503,454$281,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221,913.46 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Magic | 45c | 343,138$152,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,875.24 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Magic | 40c | 300,000$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Pistons | 60c | 300,000$180,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,999.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 48c | 299,933$144,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,072.74 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Magic | 45c | 248,215$111,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,142.18 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Pistons | 26c | 119,864$31,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,715.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 39c | 118,052$46,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,040.18 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Pistons | 58c | 95,000$55,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,900 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Magic | 51c | 78,459$40,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,401.49 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Pistons | 60c | 77,142$46,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,044.78 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 41c | 69,729$28,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,598.77 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Pistons | 59c | 65,605$38,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,898.01 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 20c | 59,419$11,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,898.41 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Magic | 41c | 57,500$23,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,575 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pistons | 8c | 50,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,999.95 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Magic | 43c | 46,512$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Pistons | 59c | 43,534$25,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,848.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 60c | 42,936$25,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,308.05 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Pistons | 34c | 41,818$14,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,746.19 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Pistons | 60c | 38,380$23,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,366.51 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Pistons | 9c | 36,921$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,473.31 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked Pistons | 57c | 36,538$20,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,711.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Magic | 40c | 35,555$14,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,222 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons | 40c | 32,951$13,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,720.52 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Pistons | 18c | 32,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,240 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Magic | 78c | 30,695$23,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,971.6 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Pistons | 7c | 30,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,900 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Magic | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 73c | 30,000$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.99 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 30c | 28,920$8,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,198.18 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Pistons | 7c | 26,720$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,777.56 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Pistons | 37c | 26,603$9,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,736.39 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Pistons | 60c | 26,188$15,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,475.12 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Magic | 41c | 25,848$10,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,596.83 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Magic | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Magic | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 73c | 23,527$17,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,174.73 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Pistons | 59c | 23,487$13,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,584.92 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 50c | 23,208$11,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,490.65 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 61c | 23,098$14,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,008.28 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Magic | 66c | 22,620$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 0c | 22,469$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 23c | 21,396$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,468.13 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Pistons | 37c | 20,717$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,977.46 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 41c | 20,295$8,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 61c | 17,890$10,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,017.15 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Magic | 79c | 17,884$14,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,117.18 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Magic | 5c | 17,761$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Pistons | 62c | 17,284$10,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,589.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 40c | 17,185$6,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,874.03 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Pistons | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.67 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pistons | 60c | 15,951$9,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380.4 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Pistons | 19c | 15,665$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,658.66 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Pistons | 60c | 15,555$9,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Magic | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.97 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons | 51c | 14,413$7,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,025.87 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Pistons | 59c | 14,166$8,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Pistons | 9c | 13,933$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,678.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Magic | 40c | 13,602$5,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,453.8 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Pistons | 59c | 13,270$7,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.63 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pistons | 32c | 13,085$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,924.88 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Magic | 63c | 13,001$8,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200.59 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Magic | 76c | 13,000$9,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,870 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic | 40c | 13,000$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.38 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Pistons | 43c | 12,187$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.86 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…2b5cbacked Magic | 0c | 12,124$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Pistons | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920.01 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Pistons | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Pistons | 40c | 11,914$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.95 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Magic | 49c | 11,628$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.01 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Magic | 12c | 11,246$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.62 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Magic | 40c | 10,706$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.47 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed Pistons | 61c | 10,646$6,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Magic | 39c | 10,215$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Pistons | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Magic | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Pistons | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Pistons | 61c | 10,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Magic | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked Magic | 40c | 9,811$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Magic | 59c | 9,622$5,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,724.24 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 48c | 9,565$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pistons | 49c | 9,547$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,881.5 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Pistons | 44c | 9,459$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,296.07 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Magic | 41c | 9,268$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons | 50c | 9,259$4,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.72 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 59c | 9,145$5,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.45 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Magic | 38c | 9,077$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.4 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…78b8backed Magic | 75c | 9,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,749.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Magic | 55c | 8,752$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 2c | 8,600$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Pistons | 54c | 8,326$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.88 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 38c | 8,295$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.97 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Magic | 41c | 8,200$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 59c | 8,079$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.28 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 176.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 181.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 195.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 198.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 205.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 208.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.