NBA · resolved market
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe90b7be4d2f9db366958e94efc2329e7cb3c7b9ad689ebeadc8f5ae2bbc73b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 48c | 2,194$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.36 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Yes | 56c | 502.17$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.59 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 56c | 377.14$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed No | 44c | 316.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 49c | 304.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…d9f8backed Yes | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed No | 49c | 182.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Yes | 56c | 143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…5daabacked Yes | 45c | 139.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked No | 55c | 111.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 99 | 75.8%75 W · 24 L | +16.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 17c | 109.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Yes | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…8a80backed Yes | 49c | 101.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 50c | 92.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…4a6bbacked Yes | 50c | 92.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…2b9dbacked Yes | 56c | 89.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…e2b5backed Yes | 55c | 72.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 46c | 64.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked Yes | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef6…38b5backed Yes | 44c | 47.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Yes | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x096d…38dfbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…a3c6backed Yes | 56c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceac…c462backed Yes | 57c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf441…fa0fbacked Yes | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 176.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 181.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 195.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 198.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 205.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 208.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.