TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3de4…b032backed Under47c86,981$40,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,099.922458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over53c86,324$45,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,749.6669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c42,016$21,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,007.9232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over52c35,442$18,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,429.9115545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under48c30,061$14,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,631.727650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Under50c20,019$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,019.368452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over53c15,698$8,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3201520%3 W · 12 L-6.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-71.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c14,633$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,316.51,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under47c10,350$4,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,485.4721549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c9,321$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over13c4,287$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.3118835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.3214251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c3,758$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.431,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,070$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.584,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Over54c2,059$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.8818345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa475…bfe7backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over47c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9918844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under50c1,777$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.35354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c1,497$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.7466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under48c1,268$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.2738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Over3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%0 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Over3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Over3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Over3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Under50c1,085$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.682653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51028547.7%136 W · 149 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under47c999.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.998348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under46c999.97$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9856043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c989.2$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.2865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Over8c692$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.813036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under62c646.41$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c605.2$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.866,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604a…59f3backed Under47c581$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c564.6$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.651,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under51c551.55$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2619954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Over8c508$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.626524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Over3c470$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c462.08$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under71c408.19$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7935849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over27c400.03$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.931,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under48c395.83$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8319951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18227450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under49c349.74$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.377452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Over36c317.34$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.372236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over53c301$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16212536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa564…e6f3backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over4c254.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2214845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under46c243.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4111437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under48c233.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.338350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Under48c227.94$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.946844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over41c219.74$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8918850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.778450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under50c208.57$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3325850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over18c195.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1237755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under51c170.59$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5910552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over51c169.59$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4914854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Over51c154.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.045841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over51c135.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Over53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Under48c101.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5414552.4%76 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5363353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5236749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under61c95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.052,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under50c88.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0933159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under67c88.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c83.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.417848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over38c74.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over54c67.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.583357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c63.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.831,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.