TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Magic46c15,114$6,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,952.431,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Pistons54c14,013$7,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,445.965655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Pistons54c7,868$4,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619.2917055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic47c7,377$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pistons55c5,390$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.31,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Magic45c3,791$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.9717249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Pistons55c2,545$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.457642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pistons51c2,003$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.3648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Pistons53c1,990$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.474438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Magic47c1,641$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.6169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Magic58c1,386$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Magic46c1,143$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.2666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Magic47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Magic46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Pistons55c909.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4911556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Magic46c879.98$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.5962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Pistons48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32525550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Pistons48c599.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Magic3c518.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5616429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Magic79c471.52$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Magic46c468.1$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3329245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pistons68c440.62$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic45c434.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Magic46c396.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.622254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons45c387.42$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.011,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Pistons54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3736450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c79…fdf7backed Magic11c370$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Magic45c365$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.251,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pistons54c348.15$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Pistons60c334.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.279348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Magic46c303.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.622236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Pistons54c294.7$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5610559%62 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Magic38c262.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.944734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1184…a836backed Pistons55c250.4$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Pistons54c233$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.132657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Magic46c213.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.410061%61 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Magic32c209.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Magic45c207$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Magic47c185.11$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Pistons55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Magic48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807936.7%29 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Magic46c152.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9814845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Pistons53c152$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.713767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Magic45c142.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Magic46c132.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046b…1868backed Magic68c114.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.711050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Magic52c113.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0119445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Magic45c112.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.731,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Magic46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Magic46c107.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Magic51c102.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Pistons54c99.94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9714946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc4…d48cbacked Pistons51c97.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.754660.9%28 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed Magic50c95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.35453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Pistons54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.599355.9%52 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Pistons54c91.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.394746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pistons55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9151651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Pistons52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.423445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Magic51c77.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.563467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Magic71c73.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2120247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Magic16c69.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Magic46c68.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5126651.1%136 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Magic47c65.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Magic45c63.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed Pistons54c57.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.568354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c36…08f5backed Pistons48c56.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.414158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Pistons54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5666046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ef…c83ebacked Pistons49c55.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Pistons55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7527645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Pistons55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.554445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Magic78c54.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.472737%10 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Magic47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256663.6%42 W · 24 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd91…3cc3backed Pistons49c52.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.674156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Magic46c52.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.034858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0271…5673backed Magic48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pistons56c50.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3940541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons56c50.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.13,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Magic78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Magic45c49.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.162532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d65…383bbacked Pistons51c48.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Magic46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Magic45c43.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6814150.4%71 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f4…16f3backed Magic48c43.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.792458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Magic45c42.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1811864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Magic49c39.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2222143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ff…e042backed Pistons51c38.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed Pistons55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.832846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Magic48c36.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4719360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Magic49c35.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.461,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a0…00a6backed Pistons49c35.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Magic49c34.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Pistons54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6920055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Magic40c32.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1349247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c5…b169backed Magic41c32.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.38850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3b…913dbacked Magic46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Magic46c30.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.161643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Magic40c30.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1325153.8%135 W · 116 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Magic52c29.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.646060%36 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Pistons49c28.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bd…3480backed Pistons51c28.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.854100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.