NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a4fcd6fd251aeaada52513f922f048f937ca2e122715ef2eb0174d2a4c076a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 46c | 15,114$6,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,952.43 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Pistons | 54c | 14,013$7,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,445.96 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Pistons | 54c | 7,868$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.29 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 47c | 7,377$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 55c | 5,390$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.3 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Magic | 45c | 3,791$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.97 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Pistons | 55c | 2,545$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.45 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pistons | 51c | 2,003$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.36 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Pistons | 53c | 1,990$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.47 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Magic | 47c | 1,641$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.61 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Magic | 58c | 1,386$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Magic | 46c | 1,143$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.26 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Magic | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Pistons | 55c | 909.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.49 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Magic | 46c | 879.98$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.59 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Pistons | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Pistons | 48c | 599.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Magic | 3c | 518.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Magic | 79c | 471.52$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.92 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Magic | 46c | 468.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pistons | 68c | 440.62$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 45c | 434.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Magic | 46c | 396.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons | 45c | 387.42$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.01 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Pistons | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…fdf7backed Magic | 11c | 370$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Magic | 45c | 365$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pistons | 54c | 348.15$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.15 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Pistons | 60c | 334.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Magic | 46c | 303.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Pistons | 54c | 294.7$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Magic | 38c | 262.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed Pistons | 55c | 250.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Pistons | 54c | 233$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Magic | 46c | 213.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Magic | 32c | 209.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Magic | 45c | 207$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Magic | 47c | 185.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Pistons | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Magic | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Magic | 46c | 152.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Pistons | 53c | 152$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Magic | 45c | 142.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 46c | 132.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…1868backed Magic | 68c | 114.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Magic | 52c | 113.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Magic | 45c | 112.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Magic | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Magic | 46c | 107.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Magic | 51c | 102.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Pistons | 54c | 99.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…d48cbacked Pistons | 51c | 97.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Magic | 50c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Pistons | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Pistons | 54c | 91.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pistons | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Pistons | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Magic | 51c | 77.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Magic | 71c | 73.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 16c | 69.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Magic | 46c | 68.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Magic | 47c | 65.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Magic | 45c | 63.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Pistons | 54c | 57.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…08f5backed Pistons | 48c | 56.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Pistons | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…c83ebacked Pistons | 49c | 55.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Pistons | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Pistons | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Magic | 78c | 54.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Magic | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…3cc3backed Pistons | 49c | 52.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Magic | 46c | 52.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Magic | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pistons | 56c | 50.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 56c | 50.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Magic | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Magic | 45c | 49.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…383bbacked Pistons | 51c | 48.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Magic | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Magic | 45c | 43.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…16f3backed Magic | 48c | 43.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Magic | 45c | 42.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Magic | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…e042backed Pistons | 51c | 38.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Pistons | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Magic | 48c | 36.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 193 | 60.1%116 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 49c | 35.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a0…00a6backed Pistons | 49c | 35.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Magic | 49c | 34.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Pistons | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Magic | 40c | 32.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Magic | 41c | 32.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3b…913dbacked Magic | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Magic | 46c | 30.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Magic | 40c | 30.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Magic | 52c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Pistons | 49c | 28.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…3480backed Pistons | 51c | 28.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 176.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 181.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 195.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 198.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 205.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 208.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.