TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x39a0…00a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6155.7%34 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.84
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmanebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Cincinnati Open: Magdalena Frech vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$7.01
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.01
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$7.55
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.23
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$5.9
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$7.7
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.44
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.54
National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$6.83
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+41%+$12.14
National Bank Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$8.65
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$18.01
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$21.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick13cpaid+700%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+700%+$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.