TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39a0…00a6backed No0c47,003$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c15,191$7,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,861.22,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c10,159$7,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,091.5896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c8,738$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,453.641,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes30c6,130$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.1632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No70c3,433$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.913852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes28c2,560$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.35520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa732…2723backed Yes32c1,499$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No6c1,492$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9116819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No69c1,472$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.7529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes69c995.88$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.111346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No69c981.4$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No34c817.43$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9220431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No44c659.03$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5212044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes31c618.45$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.734639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes70c590.07$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.995170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes58c582.24$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d1e…f563backed No71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No24c390.81$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4331738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c361.47$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2742347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes29c350.5$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.867045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5222…a3b7backed No72c342.15$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No13c328.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.961833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes30c321.23$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8813146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e55…ff92backed Yes65c301.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes31c295.83$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.124365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c63…0857backed No72c245.8$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.98366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes64c240.13$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7838547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No43c224.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1720749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c207.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7532854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes76c203.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c181.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9939354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes65c179.72$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes30c168.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6926241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No72c166.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed No70c151.23$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes31c149.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.951376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes29c140.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10041954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1400…9f95backed No72c140.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No71c138.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.264374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x174d…39eebacked No72c137.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.11580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c136.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4046…de2bbacked No72c132.73$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes30c128.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.971346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes29c127.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.435955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fd…8b78backed No72c125.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ef…dbeebacked No72c121.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed No75c120.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.621154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1edb…6511backed No72c116.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.53540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5db…218ebacked No72c116.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf4b…52c0backed No71c115$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea28…c630backed No72c113.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…1f93backed No72c112.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes63c112.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6746047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No69c110.94$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.552755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x108c…1691backed No72c108.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff82…80d6backed No72c106.19$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.45366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4fd…b25bbacked No72c105.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…20f7backed No72c105.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.75366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ec…744bbacked No72c103.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f2…a363backed No72c103.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48f9…1cb5backed No72c102.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No72c99.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1813040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x873d…f7a9backed Yes80c98.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c95.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8926747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes31c92.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.014337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes27c86.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa6…3a43backed No72c86.47$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Yes28c83.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes24c83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0810233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes70c82.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.651553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f43…68d8backed Yes32c82.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.871758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed No71c79.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No61c78.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No70c75.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1214258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8465254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked No73c68.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.663461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7f…9da6backed No70c64.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes29c59.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1920741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed No72c58.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.474566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes41c58.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.543174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No32c57.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4220033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No28c57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8423345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked No30c52.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.741346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24d…9633backed No69c52.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No32c51.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5731958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes29c51.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.331811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-69.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed No68c51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0879…2f3fbacked Yes30c47.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.53650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+83.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x899f…3e95backed Yes31c46.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed No43c44.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No72c42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2423353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes53c41.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.411275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed No68c41.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No56c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.842133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes50c40.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4231051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0949…72f7backed Yes32c37.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+216.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No70c36.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.893164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked No70c35.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.14560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.