TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$448,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$467,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes50c230,002$114,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,840.45825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No50c62,941$31,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,470.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed No50c48,028$24,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,009.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+172.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c38,419$19,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,300.2498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c18,064$12,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,623.442,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e6…5448backed No50c16,937$8,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,468.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes29c13,153$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes53c12,846$6,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,816.7768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19e7…1227backed No50c11,050$5,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,525.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No49c9,937$4,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,067.956346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No52c8,770$4,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,222.646429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No50c7,935$3,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.211850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No50c6,790$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,39516045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c6,281$4,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.241,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes51c5,256$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.57955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes50c4,511$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.366048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8410…d59cbacked No50c4,354$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes11c4,347$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.141050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No62c4,229$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.869650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6056…2345backed No50c4,140$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes54c4,100$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.9933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes50c4,047$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.496659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No46c3,881$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.9548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes48c3,494$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.1632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No50c2,910$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4553243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No50c2,813$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No57c2,770$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.4814752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No50c2,716$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3589652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes50c2,562$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.1141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9615042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No55c2,433$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.639576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c2,410$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5816032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes50c2,318$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15914258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes51c2,169$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.014146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No50c2,155$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.671464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+73.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No50c2,114$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.827045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed Yes54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No49c1,987$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.125162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.192231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes50c1,709$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.573250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No53c1,279$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.3811346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes53c1,130$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc559…9614backed Yes50c1,088$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes52c1,057$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.478958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes21c1,037$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.114320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes50c981.46$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.733348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No71c978.87$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.551376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.610650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No55c917.54$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.8922373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c913.07$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No49c891.85$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.725754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No55c887.76$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.38169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No52c840.46$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.425547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes51c800$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40422551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes25c764.79$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c757.38$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.357763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c750$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No78c730.55$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.138453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No49c728.85$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.122653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes52c728.4$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.774242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No52c617.94$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.374365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes22c606.58$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.456848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes34c606.33$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5826241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c595.93$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2916735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2917147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed No50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed No50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No50c572.93$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.121952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed No50c545.83$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.422661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes41c532.93$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.381963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No46c505.86$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.725450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes23c490.47$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.28342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes12c473.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No47c470.86$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.566266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No76c468.33$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.393847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No47c466.39$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked No51c448.59$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked No50c426.8$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.41952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No49c420$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.22050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes51c418.57$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.473948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No55c397.96$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.084463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.794658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.88333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Yes49c393.39$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes52c388.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0110757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed No50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1942055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1941844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed No50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1942259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.513663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No47c371.31$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.843058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.563828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8105…e9f3backed Yes21c317.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No71c311.61$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.841553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.