TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Magdalena Frech vs Elena Rybakina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elena Rybakinaof Magdalena Frech, Elena Rybakina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$440,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Magdalena Frech15c37,400$5,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,485.634,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Magdalena Frech10c24,592$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.191,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Magdalena Frech29c10,000$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.2617850.6%90 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magdalena Frech14c8,642$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.5211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Magdalena Frech17c8,602$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.081,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Magdalena Frech13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Magdalena Frech15c7,289$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.953,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Magdalena Frech14c7,279$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.0661152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb6…8b20backed Magdalena Frech5c6,990$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3596710.4%7 W · 60 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd7…7e74backed Elena Rybakina79c4,311$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.284259.5%25 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Magdalena Frech14c4,204$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Magdalena Frech16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Magdalena Frech5c2,937$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.921747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Magdalena Frech25c2,693$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.8336545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Magdalena Frech13c2,444$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.711,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Magdalena Frech10c2,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Magdalena Frech25c2,056$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.9627732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Magdalena Frech5c1,966$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3930053.7%161 W · 139 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Elena Rybakina78c1,795$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.8713938.8%54 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61a8…1ad4backed Magdalena Frech14c1,785$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.615549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magdalena Frech13c1,732$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.152,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Magdalena Frech11c1,610$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.493,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Magdalena Frech4c1,388$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.886,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Magdalena Frech18c1,388$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0424844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Magdalena Frech23c1,241$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28045850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Magdalena Frech13c1,110$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.335938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Magdalena Frech13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13033550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Magdalena Frech24c834.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Magdalena Frech8c819.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6222020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Elena Rybakina73c799.99$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Magdalena Frech18c766.91$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14024936.5%91 W · 158 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a1…1c2ebacked Magdalena Frech7c758.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011421.9%25 W · 89 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Elena Rybakina77c750$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17060158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda79…9050backed Magdalena Frech12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013531.9%43 W · 92 L+0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Magdalena Frech13c725.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5842748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a31…ddc0backed Magdalena Frech7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503625%9 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Magdalena Frech15c663.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.620953.6%112 W · 97 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Magdalena Frech14c657.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.011,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8101…663ebacked Magdalena Frech12c625$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758731%27 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Magdalena Frech12c625$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515133.8%51 W · 100 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed Magdalena Frech13c575.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Magdalena Frech19c533.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014439.6%57 W · 87 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Elena Rybakina78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8223738.8%92 W · 145 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Magdalena Frech5c510$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+344.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Elena Rybakina73c506.84$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.853666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+630.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x488b…2385backed Magdalena Frech13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Magdalena Frech14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7091754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Magdalena Frech13c423.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569232.6%30 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Elena Rybakina79c417.38$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.291,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01b…fa88backed Magdalena Frech6c404.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259349.5%46 W · 47 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Elena Rybakina80c403.15$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.359,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Magdalena Frech18c381.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5174439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Magdalena Frech17c363.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7373350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x315e…9b06backed Magdalena Frech14c342.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x492b…45eebacked Magdalena Frech15c324.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1316349.7%81 W · 82 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Magdalena Frech14c313.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8928543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Magdalena Frech15c299.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.531,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Magdalena Frech13c296.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed Magdalena Frech19c281.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.565728.1%16 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Magdalena Frech11c254.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5744729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5da…5fb9backed Magdalena Frech12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012634.9%44 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Magdalena Frech18c235$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.31020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Magdalena Frech17c219.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5514536.6%53 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8204…8fa3backed Magdalena Frech15c196$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304030%12 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Magdalena Frech13c179.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2358931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Magdalena Frech14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523530.2%71 W · 164 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Magdalena Frech11c178.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010233.3%34 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Magdalena Frech12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015534.8%54 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd762…bb9ebacked Magdalena Frech12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012740.9%52 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…c45cbacked Magdalena Frech12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9538…96f4backed Magdalena Frech12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012031.7%38 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e87…91cbbacked Magdalena Frech12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208142%34 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Magdalena Frech13c154.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1527744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Magdalena Frech11c154.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.725,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Magdalena Frech14c145.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3825546.7%119 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Magdalena Frech14c144.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Elena Rybakina80c143.62$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1230150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Magdalena Frech18c141.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8778957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e75…50d7backed Magdalena Frech8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.26749.3%33 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Elena Rybakina78c132.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.544,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3450…0870backed Magdalena Frech12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157834.6%27 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Magdalena Frech17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204447.7%21 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b94…9c0dbacked Magdalena Frech10c108.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.454551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…bcf4backed Magdalena Frech14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb8…b855backed Magdalena Frech12c105.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.689938.4%38 W · 61 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a08…46f9backed Magdalena Frech12c104.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57929.1%23 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Magdalena Frech13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865a…4f00backed Magdalena Frech12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128226.8%22 W · 60 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Elena Rybakina74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2624055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b76…cc64backed Magdalena Frech12c98.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.783636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Magdalena Frech13c98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7428442.3%120 W · 164 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a6…ef45backed Magdalena Frech12c89.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47ae…9ff0backed Magdalena Frech12c87.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.526124.6%15 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Elena Rybakina77c83.91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9126158.2%152 W · 109 L+1.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1d…b7cabacked Magdalena Frech14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde5e…9a9bbacked Magdalena Frech15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.67243.1%31 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Elena Rybakina80c68.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.731,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Magdalena Frech16c66.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4945564.6%294 W · 161 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc02…ce2abacked Elena Rybakina80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.521572.6%156 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a0…00a6backed Elena Rybakina74c26.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.016254.8%34 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.